Paddy Power — real bookmaker margin
We measure the margin Paddy Power actually builds into its 1X2 football prices — not the one it advertises. 1,647 matches in the last 30 days, every price taken from our own odds snapshots. We have no commercial relationship with Paddy Power or any other bookmaker.
Last computed:
#33 of 44 on the same matches as Pinnacle
1,556 shared matches
8.80%
What that margin costs you
At a 9.62% margin, every 100 units you stake with Paddy Power carry an expected cost of 8.78 units before any skill is involved. Someone staking 100 units a month pays roughly 105 units a year in margin alone — 49 units more per year than at the cheapest bookmaker we track (BetAnything, 4.97%).
Margin over the last 90 days
Each point is the average margin of the matches whose last pre-match price we captured that week (weeks with fewer than 10 matches are hidden). The most recent point can still move slightly as late prices arrive.
Margin by competition, last 30 days, leagues with at least 20 priced matches. 'Market avg' is the average margin of all bookmakers we track on that league — how Paddy Power compares to its peers, not just to itself.
Cheapest leagues at Paddy Power
| League | Avg. margin | Market avg | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 7.12% | 5.80% | 50 |
| UEFA Champions League | 7.20% | 6.11% | 54 |
| Scottish Premiership | 7.61% | 7.56% | 27 |
| MLS | 7.75% | 7.62% | 75 |
| League One | 7.85% | 7.39% | 65 |
Most expensive leagues at Paddy Power
| League | Avg. margin | Market avg | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jupiler Pro League | 11.79% | 8.50% | 23 |
| Primera Division Chile | 11.74% | 9.25% | 22 |
| 3. Liga | 11.65% | 10.13% | 49 |
| Segunda Division | 11.42% | 9.19% | 44 |
| UEFA Conference League | 11.22% | 7.79% | 54 |
Frequently asked
What is Paddy Power's real margin on 1X2 football odds?
Measured from 1,647 matches in the last 30 days, Paddy Power's average 1X2 margin is 9.62%. That means the implied probabilities of its home/draw/away prices add up to about 109.6% instead of 100%; the excess is the bookmaker's built-in fee.
Is Paddy Power cheaper or more expensive than the sharp benchmark?
On the 1,556 matches both priced in the last 30 days, Paddy Power's margin was on average 5.45 percentage points above Pinnacle's, the sharp benchmark. By plain average over all its matches, Paddy Power's margin is 9.62% and it ranks #31 of the 44 bookmakers we track with enough data; the cheapest by that average is BetAnything at 4.97%.
Which leagues is Paddy Power most expensive on?
On the matches we priced in the last 30 days, Paddy Power's highest margins were on Jupiler Pro League (11.79%) and its lowest on Premier League (7.12%). Smaller competitions almost always carry a higher margin at every bookmaker.
How we measure this
For every match, we take each bookmaker's most recent pre-kick-off 1X2 prices from our own odds snapshots (in-play prices are excluded), convert them to implied probabilities (1 divided by the odds) and sum them. A fair market sums to exactly 100%; anything above that is the bookmaker's margin — the built-in fee you pay on every bet. We average that margin across all matches the bookmaker priced in the last 30 days. Nobody pays us for placement and no affiliate deal reorders this table: it is arithmetic on captured prices, recomputed every hour.
Why this matters
TipsAudit has no affiliate, sponsorship or advertising relationship with Paddy Power or with any bookmaker. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to open an account anywhere; it is a measurement of what the prices cost.
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