Danish 1st Division Fri, 16 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC

HB Koge 2–3 AB Copenhagen

Final score · Half-time 0–1 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made HB Koge the most likely outcome at 41%: fair odds of 2.41.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

25' R. Brodersen · yellow card · HB Koge
44' M. Jakobsen · yellow card · HB Koge
45+3' 0–1 M. Rasmussen · goal · AB Copenhagen
47' 1–1 M. Warming · goal · assist R. Brodersen · HB Koge
59' 1–2 O. Mullings · goal · assist M. Rasmussen · AB Copenhagen
60' M. Rasmussen · yellow card · AB Copenhagen
68' 1–3 N. Engell · goal · assist M. Stenner · AB Copenhagen
73' M. Clement · yellow card · AB Copenhagen
75' S. Diop · yellow card · AB Copenhagen
78' C. Jensen Tue · yellow card · HB Koge
84' T. Thomsen · yellow card · HB Koge
89' 2–3 A. Benediktsson (own goal) · HB Koge

What the market said before kick-off

HB Koge win 41% did not happen
Draw 24% did not happen
AB Copenhagen win 34% happened

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Referee: O. A. Stegemuller Fogh Simbold · Venue: Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

	1	X	2
Chance	41%	24%	34%
Fair odds	2.41	4.11	2.92
Pinnacle odds	2.32	3.86	2.79

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

HB Koge averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; AB Copenhagen averaged 1.2 and 1.0 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

HB Koge

W W D D D

avg 2 scored · 1 conceded (last 5)

AB Copenhagen

W W L L L

avg 1.2 scored · 1 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

Measured by TipsAudit