Cittadella 1–0 Arzignano Valchiampo
Final score · Half-time 0–0 · Latest results
At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Cittadella the most likely outcome at 60%: fair odds of 1.66.
After the whistle
Goals and cards
- 30' F. Cariolato · yellow card · Arzignano Valchiampo
- 58' A. Redolfi · yellow card · Cittadella
- 62' 1–0 A. Ndrecka · goal · Cittadella
What the market said before kick-off
- Cittadella win 60% happened
- Draw 23% did not happen
- Arzignano Valchiampo win 17% did not happen
Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.
Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.
Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chance | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| Fair odds | 1.66 | 4.42 | 5.80 |
| Pinnacle odds | 1.61 | 4.02 | 5.19 |
For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.
Match context
Cittadella averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Arzignano Valchiampo averaged 2.2 and 1.0 over 5.
These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.
Why this price?
Form: most recent match first.
Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.
Why only a fair price here
We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology
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