Estonia Meistriliiga

Laagri 2–0 Vaprus

Final score · Half-time 1–0 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Laagri the most likely outcome at 46%: fair odds of 2.17.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

  1. 15' R. Reimaa · yellow card · Laagri
  2. 30' 1–0 K. Eerme (pen.) · Laagri
  3. 52' A. Kaevats · yellow card · Laagri
  4. 57' M. Lipp · yellow card · Vaprus
  5. 71' 2–0 M. Kelement · goal · assist A. Binate · Laagri
  6. 73' J. Sild · yellow card · Vaprus
  7. 73' M. Kesa · yellow card · Laagri
  8. 76' S. Kapper · yellow card · Vaprus
  9. 79' S. Viidas · yellow card · Vaprus

What the market said before kick-off

  • Laagri win 46% happened
  • Draw 25% did not happen
  • Vaprus win 29% did not happen

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Referee: A. Porila · Venue: Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

1X2
Chance46%25%29%
Fair odds2.174.073.42
Pinnacle odds2.053.683.13

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

Laagri averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Vaprus averaged 1.2 and 2.6 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Laagri
W W D W L
avg 1.4 scored · 0.8 conceded (last 5)
Vaprus
D D L L L
avg 1.2 scored · 2.6 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent head-to-head
09 Sep 2026 Vaprus 3–2 Laagri
16 May 2026 Laagri 1–2 Vaprus
04 Apr 2026 Vaprus 0–2 Laagri
27 Sep 2025 Laagri 1–2 Vaprus
25 Jul 2025 Vaprus 2–2 Laagri

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

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