Armenia Premier League

BKMA 0–1 Ararat-Armenia

Final score · Half-time 0–1 · All of yesterday's results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Ararat-Armenia the most likely outcome at 77%: fair odds of 1.29.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

  1. 10' A. Eloyan · goal · Ararat-Armenia
  2. 14' A. Ambartsumyan · yellow card · Ararat-Armenia
  3. 26' K. Muradyan · yellow card · Ararat-Armenia
  4. 50' A. Petrosyan · yellow card · BKMA
  5. 90' K. Hovakimyan · yellow card · BKMA
  6. 90+2' A. Ndour · red card · Ararat-Armenia
  7. 90+2' A. Movsesyan · yellow card · BKMA

What the market said before kick-off

  • BKMA win 8% did not happen
  • Draw 14% did not happen
  • Ararat-Armenia win 77% happened

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Venue: Football Academy Stadium, Yerevan

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

1X2
Chance8%14%77%
Fair odds12.196.961.29
Pinnacle odds8.875.441.25

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

The last 3 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 0–1–2 (BKMA wins – draws – Ararat-Armenia wins).

BKMA scored 1.4 and conceded 1.8 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Ararat-Armenia scored 1.8 and conceded 1.8 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

BKMA
L D L W W
avg 1.4 scored · 1.8 conceded (last 5)
Ararat-Armenia
L D W L W
avg 1.8 scored · 1.8 conceded (last 5)
Recent head-to-head
17 May 2026 BKMA 2–3 Ararat-Armenia
25 Oct 2025 Ararat-Armenia 2–1 BKMA
29 Sep 2025 BKMA 2–2 Ararat-Armenia

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

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