Portugal Taça de Portugal

Fátima 1–0 Academico Viseu

Final score · Half-time 0–0 · All of yesterday's results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Academico Viseu the most likely outcome at 68%: fair odds of 1.47.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

  1. 46' — · yellow card · Fátima
  2. 76' — · yellow card · Academico Viseu
  3. 83' L. J. Oliveira · goal · Fátima
  4. 89' — · yellow card · Academico Viseu
  5. 90+3' — · yellow card · Academico Viseu

What the market said before kick-off

  • Fátima win 16% happened
  • Draw 16% did not happen
  • Academico Viseu win 68% did not happen

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Venue: Estadio Papa Francisco

Next matches

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

1X2
Chance16%16%68%
Fair odds6.306.251.47
Pinnacle odds4.684.651.38

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

Fátima scored 2.3 and conceded 1.7 across their last 3 matches in our results database; Academico Viseu scored 1.4 and conceded 1 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Fátima
W W L
avg 2.3 scored · 1.7 conceded (last 5)
Academico Viseu
W W W W L
avg 1.4 scored · 1 conceded (last 5)

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

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