Paredes 1–0 Famalicao
Final score · Half-time 1–0 · All of yesterday's results
At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Famalicao the most likely outcome at 70%: fair odds of 1.43.
After the whistle
Goals and cards
- 40' Miguel · goal · Paredes
- 58' R. Pinheiro · yellow card · Famalicao
- 67' D. Rodrigues · yellow card · Paredes
- 72' P. Araujo · yellow card · Paredes
- 90+5' P. Salas · yellow card · Famalicao
- 90+5' U. Abubakar · yellow card · Famalicao
- 90+5' Pedro Bondo · yellow card · Famalicao
What the market said before kick-off
- Paredes win 10% happened
- Draw 20% did not happen
- Famalicao win 70% did not happen
Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.
Next matches
Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.
Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chance | 10% | 20% | 70% |
| Fair odds | 9.76 | 5.01 | 1.43 |
| Pinnacle odds | 7.70 | 4.24 | 1.38 |
For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.
Match context
Paredes scored 2.7 and conceded 1.3 across their last 3 matches in our results database; Famalicao scored 1.6 and conceded 1.4 in 5.
These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.
Why this price?
Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.
Why only a fair price here
We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology
Measured by TipsAudit
- Most accurate football prediction site? Ranked against the closing line
- Is Statarea accurate? Audited against the closing line
- Is ProSoccer.gr accurate? Audited against the closing line
- Is FootballPredictions.net accurate? Audited against the closing line
- Independent tipster audit: verified track records
- How to check if a tipster is legit
- Can you verify a Telegram tipster? What we found reading their tips
- Are free football prediction sites accurate? We measure them in public
- Which bookmaker has the lowest margin? Live index
- Free value bet finder for football
- What is closing line value (CLV)?
- Free football predictions dataset with closing odds (CSV)
- Our full track record: every prediction, losses included