Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia
Pinnacle, with its margin removed, makes Pafos the most likely outcome at 51%: fair odds of 1.98. Market probabilities, not a tip; no bookmaker comparison or value check on this match.
Fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chance | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Fair odds | 1.98 | 3.82 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle odds | 1.88 | 3.46 | 3.86 |
Pinnacle price read at — it moves until kick-off
For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.
Match context
The last 4 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 3–1–0 (Pafos wins – draws – Apoel Nicosia wins).
Pafos scored 1 and conceded 1.2 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Apoel Nicosia scored 2.4 and conceded 1.6 in 5.
These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.
Why this price?
Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.
Why only a fair price here
We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology
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