Japan J3 League

Kagoshima United 3–1 Kochi United

Final score · Half-time 2–0 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Kagoshima United the most likely outcome at 67%: fair odds of 1.49.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

  1. 2' 1–0 A. Takahashi · goal · assist K. Yoshio · Kagoshima United
  2. 19' Y. Shimoda · yellow card · Kochi United
  3. 25' I. Origbaajo · yellow card · Kochi United
  4. 35' 2–0 A. Takahashi · goal · Kagoshima United
  5. 45+2' R. Arita · yellow card · Kagoshima United
  6. 50' A. Kanehara · yellow card · Kochi United
  7. 83' A. Kawata · yellow card · Kochi United
  8. 87' 3–0 M. Fukuda · goal · assist S. Inaba · Kagoshima United
  9. 90' 3–1 R. Fujimori · goal · assist G. Sekino · Kochi United
  10. 90+3' M. Fukuda · yellow card · Kagoshima United

What the market said before kick-off

  • Kagoshima United win 67% happened
  • Draw 21% did not happen
  • Kochi United win 12% did not happen

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Venue: Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

1X2
Chance67%21%12%
Fair odds1.494.748.45
Pinnacle odds1.444.137.00

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

Kagoshima United averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Kochi United averaged 0.2 and 2.4 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Kagoshima United
W L W D W
avg 2.2 scored · 1.4 conceded (last 5)
Kochi United
L L L L L
avg 0.2 scored · 2.4 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent head-to-head
06 Sep 2025 Kagoshima United 4–1 Kochi United
15 Mar 2025 Kochi United 2–2 Kagoshima United

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

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