Poland III Liga - Group 1

Widzew II 0–1 Warta Sieradz

Final score · Half-time 0–1 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Widzew II the most likely outcome at 37%: fair odds of 2.73.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

  1. 45' 0–1 B. Bieronski · goal · Warta Sieradz
  2. 55' S. Soltysinski · missed penalty · Widzew II

What the market said before kick-off

  • Widzew II win 37% did not happen
  • Draw 28% did not happen
  • Warta Sieradz win 36% happened

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

1X2
Chance37%28%36%
Fair odds2.733.602.81
Pinnacle odds2.443.122.50

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

Widzew II averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Warta Sieradz averaged 1.6 and 1.6 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Widzew II
D L D L L
avg 1.4 scored · 2.6 conceded (last 5)
Warta Sieradz
W L D D W
avg 1.6 scored · 1.6 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent head-to-head
20 Mar 2026 Warta Sieradz 1–2 Widzew II
31 Aug 2025 Widzew II 1–3 Warta Sieradz

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

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