Tunisia Ligue 1

CA Bizertin 3–1 ES Hammam-Sousse

Final score · Half-time 1–1 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made CA Bizertin the most likely outcome at 59%: fair odds of 1.69.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

  1. 12' 1–0 W. Chihi · goal · CA Bizertin
  2. 32' 1–1 M. A. Jarraya · goal · ES Hammam-Sousse
  3. 39' O. Tenguiano · yellow card · ES Hammam-Sousse
  4. 47' 2–1 W. Timi · goal · CA Bizertin
  5. 77' — · yellow card · CA Bizertin
  6. 86' M. Doukali · yellow card · CA Bizertin
  7. 90' N. El Beji · red card · ES Hammam-Sousse
  8. 90+9' 3–1 A. Dridi (pen.) · CA Bizertin

What the market said before kick-off

  • CA Bizertin win 59% happened
  • Draw 27% did not happen
  • ES Hammam-Sousse win 14% did not happen

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Venue: Stade 15 Octobre, Bizerte

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

1X2
Chance59%27%14%
Fair odds1.693.767.01
Pinnacle odds1.613.335.86

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

CA Bizertin averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; ES Hammam-Sousse averaged 0.2 and 1.8 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

CA Bizertin
D L D W W
avg 0.6 scored · 0.6 conceded (last 5)
ES Hammam-Sousse
L L L L L
avg 0.2 scored · 1.8 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

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