K League 2 Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC

Yongin City vs Seoul E-Land FC

No fresh sharp price right now
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Over 2.5 goals: 54%

When we logged this match on 23 Oct, the sharp market made Seoul E-Land FC the most likely outcome at 60%, fair odds of 1.68. We have no fresh sharp price right now, so we make no value call. Recent form — Yongin City: WLLDL; Seoul E-Land FC: WWWLW.

The most likely result is not the same as value: value is where a bookmaker pays more than the fair price, and the two can point to different outcomes.

Value check · Not checked yet

Value check

Not checked yet

No fresh sharp price right now, so we make no value call.

Most likely result

2 Away win 60% · as recorded

	1	X	2
Sharp, recorded	18%	22%	60%

Other estimates

Our model	23%	25%	53%

Sharp, recorded = Pinnacle when we logged the match (it can be days old). Our model = our own estimate, which on average predicts worse than the market.

Fair odds of the pick (as recorded) 1.68

Sharp odds recorded for this prediction (Pinnacle) 4.92 / 4.07 / 1.62

Pick result (single or double chance) Pending

All markets at the fair price

Fair probability from Pinnacle with the margin removed, line by line, next to the best price at other bookmakers. Pinnacle prices as of 02:36 UTC. We read these markets every 3 hours; the source itself refreshes them every few hours (more often close to kick-off).

Goals: over / under

Line	Over	Under
1.5	78% fair 1.27 best 1.24 · Betano	22% fair 4.64 best 4.00 · Bet365
2.5	54% fair 1.84 best 1.75 · Bet365	46% fair 2.19 best 2.07 · Betano
3.5	31% fair 3.20 best 2.75 · Bet365	69% fair 1.45 best 1.42 · Betano

All lines (8)

Line	Over	Under
1.5	78% fair 1.27 best 1.24 · Betano	22% fair 4.64 best 4.00 · Bet365
2.25	1.62 fair best 1.52 · 1xBet	2.62 fair best 2.31 · 1xBet
2.5	54% fair 1.84 best 1.75 · Bet365	46% fair 2.19 best 2.07 · Betano
2.75	2.06 fair best 1.98 · SBO	1.94 fair best 1.78 · 1xBet
3	2.44 fair best 2.20 · Betano	1.69 fair best 1.65 · Betano
3.25	2.81 fair best 2.44 · 1xBet	1.55 fair best 1.45 · 1xBet
3.5	31% fair 3.20 best 2.75 · Bet365	69% fair 1.45 best 1.42 · Betano
4.5	15% fair 6.72 best 5.50 · Bet365	85% fair 1.17 best 1.17 · Betano

Asian handicap (home team line)

Line	Yongin City	Seoul E-Land FC
+0.25	3.08 fair best 2.59 · 1xBet	1.48 fair best 1.39 · 1xBet
+0.5	41% fair 2.47 best 2.20 · Betano	59% fair 1.68 best 1.65 · Betano
+0.75	2.13 fair best 2.00 · Bet365	1.89 fair best 1.80 · Bet365
+1	1.80 fair best 1.70 · Betano	2.25 fair best 2.12 · Betano
+1.25	1.60 fair best 1.50 · 1xBet	2.66 fair best 2.28 · 1xBet

All lines (9)

Line	Yongin City	Seoul E-Land FC
−0.25	5.20 fair best 3.98 · 1xBet	1.24 fair best 1.17 · 1xBet
0	4.51 fair best 3.50 · 1xBet	1.28 fair best 1.22 · 1xBet
+0.25	3.08 fair best 2.59 · 1xBet	1.48 fair best 1.39 · 1xBet
+0.5	41% fair 2.47 best 2.20 · Betano	59% fair 1.68 best 1.65 · Betano
+0.75	2.13 fair best 2.00 · Bet365	1.89 fair best 1.80 · Bet365
+1	1.80 fair best 1.70 · Betano	2.25 fair best 2.12 · Betano
+1.25	1.60 fair best 1.50 · 1xBet	2.66 fair best 2.28 · 1xBet
+1.5	68% fair 1.48 best 1.40 · 1xBet	32% fair 3.08 best 2.56 · 1xBet
+1.75	1.34 fair best 1.28 · 1xBet	3.95 fair best 3.08 · 1xBet

Goals by team

Yongin City goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	64% fair 1.57 best 1.50 · Betano	36% fair 2.74 best 2.50 · Betfair Sportsbook

All lines (2)

Line	Over	Under
0.5	64% fair 1.57 best 1.50 · Betano	36% fair 2.74 best 2.50 · Betfair Sportsbook
1.5	23% fair 4.29 best 3.25 · Betano	77% fair 1.30 best 1.31 · Betano

Seoul E-Land FC goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	57% fair 1.75 best 1.67 · Betano	43% fair 2.33 best 2.12 · 1xBet

All lines (2)

Line	Over	Under
1.5	57% fair 1.75 best 1.67 · Betano	43% fair 2.33 best 2.12 · 1xBet
2.5	27% fair 3.74 best 3.20 · Betfair Sportsbook	73% fair 1.37 best 1.35 · Betano

First half

First-half result

1	X	2
17% fair 5.95 best 5.04 · 1xBet	39% fair 2.55 best 2.30 · William Hill	44% fair 2.28 best 2.20 · Betano

First-half goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	73% fair 1.37 best 1.38 · Betano	27% fair 3.74 best 3.20 · William Hill
1	1.78 fair best 1.75 · Betano	2.29 fair best 2.11 · SBO
1.5	34% fair 2.90 best 2.63 · Betfair Sportsbook	66% fair 1.53 best 1.47 · 1xBet

All lines (5)

Line	Over	Under
0.5	73% fair 1.37 best 1.38 · Betano	27% fair 3.74 best 3.20 · William Hill
0.75	1.50 fair best 1.40 · 1xBet	3.00 fair best 2.62 · 1xBet
1	1.78 fair best 1.75 · Betano	2.29 fair best 2.11 · SBO
1.25	2.33 fair best 2.01 · 1xBet	1.75 fair best 1.66 · 1xBet
1.5	34% fair 2.90 best 2.63 · Betfair Sportsbook	66% fair 1.53 best 1.47 · 1xBet

These prices come from a feed that refreshes every few hours, so a bookmaker above the fair price here is not a value flag: we only flag value against a sharp price at most 90 minutes old. Double chance comes from the 1X2 fair probabilities. On whole and quarter lines part or all of the stake can be refunded, so we show only the fair price there: the break-even price of that bet, not a win probability. Bookmaker prices more than 12% above the fair price are left out as feed errors.

Team stats: recent matches

Up to the last 10 matches, all competitions; in brackets: Yongin City at home, Seoul E-Land FC away.

Team statistics, recent matches
Team statistics, recent matches	Yongin City	Seoul E-Land FC
Goals scored per game	1.30 (1.00)	1.80 (1.40)
Goals conceded per game	1.40 (1.30)	0.80 (0.80)
Over 2.5 goals	60% (40%)	40% (40%)
Both teams scored	50% (50%)	60% (40%)
Clean sheets	40% (30%)	30% (50%)
Failed to score	20% (40%)	20% (20%)

Over 2.5 goals: Yongin City in 60% and Seoul E-Land FC in 40% of their recent matches; the market prices it at 54% for this match.

From 10 matches for Yongin City and 10 for Seoul E-Land FC. Form is public information, so the fair price already includes it: a team's record is context, not a reason to bet.

Match context

Yongin City averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Seoul E-Land FC averaged 2.2 and 0.8 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Market-relevant trends

Seoul E-Land FC has won its last 3 matches.

No value Already reflected in the fair price — no value on Seoul E-Land FC here.

We show the trend and whether it is already in the price. Most sites show the streak and let you assume you should bet it.

Why this price?

Yongin City

W L L D L

avg 0.8 scored · 1.8 conceded (last 5)

Seoul E-Land FC

W W W L W

avg 2.2 scored · 0.8 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent head-to-head

16 May 2026 Seoul E-Land FC 2–2 Yongin City

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Public, timestamped record

Logged before kick-off Fri, 23 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC

Prediction record

Pick 2 · Away win

Odds recorded for the prediction 1.62

Pinnacle closing odds (with margin) pending

Prediction CLV —

Result Pending

Prediction hash — integrity fingerprint c20dee652831e8f7

This hash fingerprints the prediction as recorded: teams, kick-off time, our model probabilities, the Pinnacle prices recorded for it (at logging or, if there were none, the first quoted after logging and before kick-off, which can be written in after the match) and the log time. A later edit to any of them would change it (a rescheduled kick-off changes it too). It does not cover closing prices, the result or the value-bet record above; value flags recorded live have their own seal in the public record. Verify in the public record →

Every day a snapshot of the full public record is published to a public Git repository and timestamped with OpenTimestamps. Timestamped snapshots are never overwritten and the Git history shows any difference, so a later change to a past row is visible by comparing two snapshots. The corrections file lists the corrections we announced. Verify on the public log →

Since 20 June 2026 the public record is snapshotted daily (07:40 Bucharest time: 04:40 UTC in summer time, 05:40 UTC in winter) to an external log. A prediction is externally timestamped before kick-off only if it was in a snapshot taken before the match; predictions logged on match day, or whose Pinnacle price was added after logging, first appear there after kick-off. Value flags have been recorded live only since 26 September 2026; earlier value flags were reconstructed on that date.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

Measured by TipsAudit