Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–3 Cerro Porteno
Final score · Half-time 0–2 · Latest results
At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Cerro Porteno the most likely outcome at 69%: fair odds of 1.46.
After the whistle
Goals and cards
- 5' 0–1 L. Esteche (own goal) · Cerro Porteno
- 36' 0–2 P. Vegetti · goal · assist D. Rodriguez · Cerro Porteno
- 41' Luis Cáceres · yellow card · Club Sp. San Lorenzo
- 45+2' Iván Ramírez · disallowed by VAR · Cerro Porteno
- 47' 1–2 J. Barrios · goal · Club Sp. San Lorenzo
- 51' Cesar Bobadilla · yellow card · Cerro Porteno
- 51' Lucas Merolla · yellow card · Cerro Porteno
- 66' Hugo González · yellow card · Club Sp. San Lorenzo
- 83' Jorge Morel · yellow card · Cerro Porteno
- 84' Alexis Doldán · yellow card · Club Sp. San Lorenzo
- 90' 1–3 I. Aliseda · goal · assist S. Araujo · Cerro Porteno
- 90+5' Marcelo Augusto Ferreira Bordón · yellow card · Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Match stats
| Match stats | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Possession % | 53 | 47 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.34 | 3.45 |
| Shots | 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 6 |
| Corners | 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards | 4 | 3 |
| Red cards | 0 | 0 |
| Fouls | 11 | 10 |
| Offsides | 2 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper saves | 4 | 4 |
What the market said before kick-off
- Club Sp. San Lorenzo win 11% did not happen
- Draw 20% did not happen
- Cerro Porteno win 69% happened
Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.
Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.
Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chance | 11% | 20% | 69% |
| Fair odds | 8.99 | 4.96 | 1.46 |
| Pinnacle odds | 7.79 | 4.47 | 1.42 |
For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.
Match context
Club Sp. San Lorenzo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Cerro Porteno averaged 1.4 and 1.2 over 5.
These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.
Why this price?
Form: most recent match first.
Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.
Why only a fair price here
We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology
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