Poland III Liga - Group 1

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 3–0 ŁKS Łódź II

Final score · Half-time 2–0 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made ŁKS Łódź II the most likely outcome at 52%: fair odds of 1.93.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

  1. 4' 1–0 D. Kozera · goal · Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
  2. 18' 2–0 R. Maciazek (pen.) · Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
  3. 44' — · red card · Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
  4. 59' 3–0 A. Balut · goal · Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

What the market said before kick-off

  • Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win 26% happened
  • Draw 23% did not happen
  • ŁKS Łódź II win 52% did not happen

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

1X2
Chance26%23%52%
Fair odds3.924.431.93
Pinnacle odds3.333.711.78

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; ŁKS Łódź II averaged 2.4 and 1.8 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
L W W D L
avg 1.6 scored · 1.6 conceded (last 5)
ŁKS Łódź II
D L W D W
avg 2.4 scored · 1.8 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

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