SHANGHAI SIPG 2–3 Công An Nhân Dân

Final score · Half-time 1–1 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made SHANGHAI SIPG the most likely outcome at 63%: fair odds of 1.59.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

35' 0–1 Brayan Perea · goal · assist Léo Arthur · Công An Nhân Dân
37' Frans Putros · yellow card · Công An Nhân Dân
44' 1–1 Prince Ampem · goal · assist Jaume Grau · SHANGHAI SIPG
47' Stefan Mauk · yellow card · Công An Nhân Dân
49' 1–2 Léo Arthur · goal · assist Brayan Perea · Công An Nhân Dân
57' Le Van Do · yellow card · Công An Nhân Dân
60' 2–2 Miguel Campos · goal · SHANGHAI SIPG
69' 2–3 Brayan Perea · goal · assist Léo Arthur · Công An Nhân Dân
80' Mateus Vital · missed penalty · SHANGHAI SIPG

Match stats

Match stats	SHANGHAI SIPG	Công An Nhân Dân
Possession %	64	36
Expected goals (xG)	2.22	3.30
Shots	18	18
Shots on target	4	6
Corners	5	4
Yellow cards	0	3
Red cards	0	0
Fouls	7	24
Offsides	4	0
Goalkeeper saves	3	2

Provisional stats from the final whistle; the final numbers replace them within a day.

What the market said before kick-off

SHANGHAI SIPG win 63% did not happen
Draw 20% did not happen
Công An Nhân Dân win 17% happened

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Referee: Choi Hyun-jai · Venue: Shanghai Pudong Football Stadium, Shanghai

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

	1	X	2
Chance	63%	20%	17%
Fair odds	1.59	4.96	5.86
Pinnacle odds	1.55	4.51	5.28

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

SHANGHAI SIPG averaged 3.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Công An Nhân Dân averaged 0.8 and 1.8 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

SHANGHAI SIPG

W W D W W

avg 3.4 scored · 1.6 conceded (last 5)

Công An Nhân Dân

L L W L L

avg 0.8 scored · 1.8 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

Measured by TipsAudit