China League One

Guangxi Hengchen 1–2 Wuxi Wugou

Final score · Half-time 1–1 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Guangxi Hengchen the most likely outcome at 53%: fair odds of 1.90.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

  1. 39' 0–1 N. Noordanus · goal · assist Zhou Pinxi · Wuxi Wugou
  2. 45+1' 1–1 R. Ardazishvili · goal · assist L. Lapoussin · Guangxi Hengchen
  3. 68' Liu Boyang · yellow card · Wuxi Wugou
  4. 80' 1–2 T. Isic · goal · assist N. Albarracin · Wuxi Wugou
  5. 84' G. Chen · yellow card · Guangxi Hengchen

What the market said before kick-off

  • Guangxi Hengchen win 53% did not happen
  • Draw 25% did not happen
  • Wuxi Wugou win 23% happened

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Venue: Guangxi Sports Center, Nanning

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

1X2
Chance53%25%23%
Fair odds1.904.074.41
Pinnacle odds1.763.463.71

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

Guangxi Hengchen averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Wuxi Wugou averaged 1.6 and 0.8 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Guangxi Hengchen
L D D L W
avg 1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded (last 5)
Wuxi Wugou
W L W D W
avg 1.6 scored · 0.8 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent head-to-head
25 Sep 2026 Wuxi Wugou 0–1 Guangxi Hengchen
26 Oct 2025 Guangxi Hengchen 1–2 Wuxi Wugou
20 Sep 2025 Wuxi Wugou 1–0 Guangxi Hengchen

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

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