Spain Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Alcoyano 1–1 Real Murcia II

Final score · Half-time 1–0 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Alcoyano the most likely outcome at 67%: fair odds of 1.49.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

  1. 4' 1–0 T. Iniesta · goal · Alcoyano
  2. 80' 1–1 P. R. Ruiz · goal · Real Murcia II

What the market said before kick-off

  • Alcoyano win 67% did not happen
  • Draw 22% happened
  • Real Murcia II win 11% did not happen

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Venue: Estadio El Collao, Alcoy

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

1X2
Chance67%22%11%
Fair odds1.494.598.85
Pinnacle odds1.443.987.22

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

Alcoyano averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Real Murcia II averaged 1.2 and 1.4 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Alcoyano
L L W W W
avg 1 scored · 0.8 conceded (last 5)
Real Murcia II
W D L W L
avg 1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

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