Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG

Pinnacle, with its margin removed, makes SHANGHAI SIPG the most likely outcome at 42%: fair odds of 2.38. Market probabilities, not a tip; no bookmaker comparison or value check on this match.

Fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

	1	X	2
Chance	34%	24%	42%
Fair odds	2.97	4.11	2.38
Pinnacle odds	2.80	3.80	2.27

Pinnacle price read at 16:42 UTC — it moves until kick-off

Check my slip

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

Newcastle Jets averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; SHANGHAI SIPG averaged 2.6 and 1.4 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Newcastle Jets

L L D D L

avg 1.2 scored · 2.8 conceded (last 5)

SHANGHAI SIPG

L W W D W

avg 2.6 scored · 1.4 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

Measured by TipsAudit