Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani
Pinnacle, with its margin removed, makes Club Guarani the most likely outcome at 39%: fair odds of 2.53. Market probabilities, not a tip; no bookmaker comparison or value check on this match.
Fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chance | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Fair odds | 3.12 | 3.51 | 2.53 |
| Pinnacle odds | 2.94 | 3.28 | 2.41 |
Pinnacle price read at — it moves until kick-off
For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.
Match context
Sportivo Ameliano averaged 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Club Guarani averaged 1.2 and 1.0 over 5.
These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.
Why this price?
Form: most recent match first.
Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.
Why only a fair price here
We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology
Measured by TipsAudit
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- What is closing line value (CLV)?
- Free football predictions dataset with closing odds (CSV)
- Our full track record: every prediction, losses included
