Fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No fresh Pinnacle price right now. This page shows a fair price only when there is one.

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

Estrela U23 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Santa Clara U23 averaged 1.0 and 2.6 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Estrela U23
L D L L D
avg 1.4 scored · 2.2 conceded (last 5)
Santa Clara U23
L D L D D
avg 1 scored · 2.6 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent head-to-head
09 Dec 2025 Santa Clara U23 2–1 Estrela U23
23 Sep 2025 Estrela U23 0–1 Santa Clara U23

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

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