Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Bulgaria First League fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
No upcoming audited matches in this league right now. The audit runs continuously — check back soon.
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | +15 | 18 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 4 | Arda Kardzhali | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 | CSKA 1948 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Septemvri Sofia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
| 10 | Spartak Varna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 11 | Dunav Ruse | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 12 | Cherno More Varna | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 2 |
| # | Team | Avg. finish | P(title) | P(relegation) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 1.2 | 82.6% | 0% |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 2.7 | 10.7% | 0% |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 3.6 | 3.8% | 0% |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 4.1 | 1.3% | 0% |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 4.3 | 1.6% | 0% |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 7.8 | 0% | 4.3% |
| 7 | Dunav Ruse | 8.6 | 0% | 9.2% |
| 8 | Botev Vratsa | 9.5 | 0% | 14.8% |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 9.8 | 0% | 20% |
| 10 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 0% | 21.1% |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 10 | 0% | 20.8% |
| 12 | Septemvri Sofia | 10.5 | 0% | 26.2% |
| 13 | Cherno More Varna | 10.9 | 0% | 32.4% |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 11.9 | 0% | 51.1% |
How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.
The sharpest public forecast for Bulgaria First League is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Bulgaria First League fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Bulgaria First League match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.