Bulgaria

Bulgaria Second League predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Bulgaria Second League fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

Wed · 16:00 UTC Fratria – Montana
Thu · 16:00 UTC Yantra 2019 – Hebar 1918
Fri · 12:15 UTC Rilski Sportist – Vihren
Fri · 15:30 UTC Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa – Beroe
Fri · 15:30 UTC Pirin Blagoevgrad – Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Sat · 12:30 UTC Nesebar – Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Sat · 12:30 UTC Marek – CSKA Sofia II
Mon · 12:30 UTC Sportist Svoge – Ludogorets II
Mon · 15:30 UTC Montana – Spartak Pleven
Mon · 15:30 UTC Dobrudzha – Fratria

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
27 Oct	Ludogorets II – Dobrudzha	5–1	50%
23 Oct	Hebar 1918 – Nesebar	2–1	69%
23 Oct	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa – Pirin Blagoevgrad	2–0	80%
23 Oct	Spartak Pleven – Etar Veliko Tarnovo	2–1	34%
23 Oct	Beroe – Rilski Sportist	3–1	55%
23 Oct	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – Sportist Svoge	1–1	15%
23 Oct	Vihren – Marek	1–1	16%
23 Oct	CSKA Sofia II – Yantra 2019	3–3	27%
13 Oct	Montana – Ludogorets II	2–3	29%
10 Oct	Dobrudzha – Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	0–3	56%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Bulgaria Second League

Across the matches we priced in Bulgaria Second League, the market's average 1X2 margin is 11.24%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Betano at 10.94%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Betano → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Tue, 27 Oct · 17:58 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	13	7	4	2	26	12	+14	25
2	Vihren	13	7	4	2	26	13	+13	25
3	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	13	7	4	2	22	9	+13	25
4	Fratria	12	6	4	2	17	10	+7	22
5	Beroe	13	6	3	4	21	16	+5	21
6	Hebar 1918	13	6	2	5	29	21	+8	20
7	Yantra 2019	13	6	2	5	16	14	+2	20
8	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	13	5	5	3	11	10	+1	20
9	Rilski Sportist	13	5	4	4	15	13	+2	19
10	Marek	13	5	3	5	15	15	+0	18
11	Nesebar	13	5	3	5	21	19	+2	18
12	Spartak Pleven	13	5	2	6	14	24	-10	17
13	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	12	5	2	5	20	21	-1	17
14	Ludogorets II	11	4	3	4	12	12	+0	15
15	Sportist Svoge	13	2	5	6	9	14	-5	11
16	Montana	12	3	2	7	15	26	-11	11
17	Dobrudzha	12	2	3	7	12	21	-9	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	13	0	1	12	5	36	-31	1

Team stats this season

114 matches this season: 2.68 goals per game, 47% over 2.5, 47% both teams scored.

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets
Hebar 1918	13	2.23	1.62	77%	85%	15%
Montana	12	1.25	2.17	75%	50%	25%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo	12	1.67	1.75	67%	75%	25%
Spartak Pleven	13	1.08	1.85	62%	46%	15%
Pirin Blagoevgrad	13	0.38	2.77	62%	31%	0%
Beroe	13	1.62	1.23	54%	46%	39%
Dobrudzha	12	1.00	1.75	50%	42%	17%
CSKA Sofia II	13	2.00	0.92	46%	46%	39%
Nesebar	13	1.62	1.46	46%	54%	31%
Rilski Sportist	13	1.15	1.00	46%	54%	31%
Marek	13	1.15	1.15	46%	39%	39%
Vihren	13	2.00	1.00	39%	62%	31%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	13	1.69	0.69	39%	39%	46%
Fratria	12	1.42	0.83	33%	42%	42%
Yantra 2019	13	1.23	1.08	31%	31%	39%
Sportist Svoge	13	0.69	1.08	31%	39%	31%
Ludogorets II	11	1.09	1.09	27%	46%	18%
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	13	0.85	0.77	23%	31%	54%

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	CSKA Sofia II	3.1	27.4%	0%
2	Vihren	3.3	24.7%	0%
3	Fratria	3.3	24%	0%
4	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	4	16.1%	0%
5	Yantra 2019	6.5	3.4%	0.2%
6	Beroe	8.7	1%	1.2%
7	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	8.8	0.7%	1.3%
8	Rilski Sportist	9.1	0.5%	1.6%
9	Marek	9.5	0.5%	1.6%
10	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	9.6	0.5%	2.2%
11	Hebar 1918	9.8	0.4%	2.4%
12	Nesebar	9.9	0.3%	2.8%
13	Ludogorets II	10.1	0.3%	3.2%
14	Spartak Pleven	10.7	0.2%	4.6%
15	Sportist Svoge	15.2	0%	51.5%
16	Montana	15.6	0%	60.9%
17	Dobrudzha	15.8	0%	68.1%
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	17.7	0%	98.4%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Bulgaria Second League predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Bulgaria Second League is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Bulgaria Second League fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Bulgaria Second League betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Bulgaria Second League match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit