← All predictions today
Germany

Bundesliga predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Bundesliga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)
How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated between and · prices older than 6 hours may have moved: re-check at your bookmaker

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time Match 1X2 Value
Hamburger SVBorussia Mönchengladbach
 39% 2.49 fair 2.54 26% 3.85 fair 3.84 35% 2.90 fair 2.90 Value expired
Borussia DortmundSV Elversberg
 76% 1.34 fair 1.31 14% 6.75 fair 7.31 10% 9.70 fair 10.10 Not re-checked
RB LeipzigFC Augsburg
 67% 1.50 fair 1.50 17% 5.70 fair 5.93 17% 6.25 fair 6.02 Value expired
FSV Mainz 05Bayern München
 17% 6.52 fair 5.90 14% 6.25 fair 7.02 69% 1.48 fair 1.45 Not re-checked
SC Paderborn 07Eintracht Frankfurt
 31% 3.10 fair 3.21 24% 4.16 fair 4.10 44% 2.30 fair 2.25 Not re-checked
VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
 62% 1.58 fair 1.61 19% 5.20 fair 5.40 19% 5.75 fair 5.17 Value expired
1. FC KölnBayer Leverkusen
 23% 4.30 fair 4.37 22% 4.50 fair 4.54 55% 1.81 fair 1.82 Value expired
SC FreiburgUnion Berlin
 63% 1.56 fair 1.59 21% 4.72 fair 4.79 16% 6.11 fair 6.21 Value expired
1899 HoffenheimFC Schalke 04
 59% 1.68 fair 1.69 21% 4.67 fair 4.80 20% 5.08 fair 5.04 Value expired

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

DateMatchScoreMarket gave this result
Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburger SV 3–1 65%
Union Berlin – 1. FC Köln 1–1 28%
Bayern München – Borussia Dortmund 2–2 16%
FC Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig 0–2 53%
Werder Bremen – 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 42%
Borussia Mönchengladbach – SC Paderborn 07 0–0 25%
FC Augsburg – SC Freiburg 1–2 38%
Bayer Leverkusen – VfB Stuttgart 2–4 21%
SV Elversberg – FSV Mainz 05 4–1 25%
SC Freiburg – Bayern München 1–3 68%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Bundesliga

Across the matches we priced in Bundesliga, the market's average 1X2 margin is 6.34%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Unibet (SE) at 2.57%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Unibet (SE) → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of . We read it again after matches finish.

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern München 8 5 3 0 27 8 +19 18
2 Borussia Dortmund 8 5 3 0 14 6 +8 18
3 SC Freiburg 8 5 1 2 18 10 +8 16
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 0 3 22 11 +11 15
5 Werder Bremen 8 4 3 1 17 14 +3 15
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 18 16 +2 13
7 SV Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16 16 +0 13
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 3 2 3 13 18 -5 11
9 FSV Mainz 05 8 3 1 4 17 17 +0 10
10 FC Augsburg 8 2 3 3 18 15 +3 9
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 3 0 5 14 15 -1 9
12 1899 Hoffenheim 8 3 0 5 14 16 -2 9
13 1. FC Köln 8 2 3 3 9 12 -3 9
14 SC Paderborn 07 8 2 3 3 6 9 -3 9
15 Hamburger SV 8 3 0 5 7 19 -12 9
16 Union Berlin 8 1 4 3 7 19 -12 7
17 FC Schalke 04 8 1 3 4 4 9 -5 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 8 1 1 6 11 22 -11 4

Top scorers — 2026/27 · updated 2 Nov 2026

# Player Team Goals Assists
1 N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen 9 0
2 P. Schick Bayer Leverkusen 7 2
3 M. Olise Bayern München 6 3
4 Y. Ebnoutalib Eintracht Frankfurt 5 1
4 M. Gregoritsch FC Augsburg 5 0

Top scorers, assists and cards →

Team stats this season

72 matches this season: 3.50 goals per game, 69% over 2.5, 58% both teams scored. xG 3.51 per match (from 69 matches); 10.6 corners and 3.7 cards per match (from 72 matches with statistics).

TeamMPGFGA Over 2.5BTTSClean sheets xG for / against CornersCards
Bayern München 83.381.00 88%75%25% 3.58 / 0.94 11.51.0
FC Augsburg 82.251.88 88%88%13% 2.06 / 2.65 10.81.5
Bayer Leverkusen 82.252.00 88%63%25% 2.00 / 1.74 10.92.0
SC Freiburg 82.251.25 88%75%25% 1.77 / 1.28 8.32.0
1899 Hoffenheim 81.752.00 88%75%13% 1.84 / 1.22 11.01.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach 81.382.75 88%63%13% 1.54 / 2.20 11.43.3
RB Leipzig 82.751.38 75%25%63% 2.51 / 1.46 11.80.9
FSV Mainz 05 82.132.13 75%63%38% 2.04 / 1.48 10.32.5
Werder Bremen 82.131.75 75%88%13% 1.73 / 1.63 10.31.4
SV Elversberg 82.002.00 75%63%13% 1.40 / 2.16 12.01.8
Eintracht Frankfurt 81.632.25 75%63%13% 1.78 / 1.97 10.32.3
VfB Stuttgart 81.751.88 63%63%13% 1.99 / 2.39 12.81.5
Hamburger SV 80.882.38 63%38%13% 0.93 / 1.82 10.01.9
Borussia Dortmund 81.750.75 50%38%63% 1.61 / 1.37 9.82.1
1. FC Köln 81.131.50 50%75%13% 1.51 / 1.61 11.62.0
Union Berlin 80.882.38 50%50%25% 1.15 / 1.96 9.12.9
SC Paderborn 07 80.751.13 38%25%38% 0.98 / 1.58 10.41.5
FC Schalke 04 80.501.13 38%25%38% 0.97 / 2.00 9.61.4

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Bundesliga predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Bundesliga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Bundesliga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Bundesliga betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Bundesliga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit

Found this useful? Send it to a friend who bets.