Chile

Chile Primera B predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Chile Primera B fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

Sat · 00:15 UTC Curico Unido – Deportes Temuco
Sat · 15:30 UTC Union San Felipe – Union Espanola
Sat · 15:30 UTC Deportes Santa Cruz – Rangers de Talca
Sat · 18:00 UTC Magallanes – Antofagasta
Sat · 20:30 UTC Cobreloa – D. Puerto Montt
Sat · 20:30 UTC San Marcos de Arica – San Luis
Sun · 15:30 UTC Santiago Wanderers – Deportes Copiapo
Sun · 18:00 UTC Recoleta – Deportes Iquique

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
25 Oct	Antofagasta – Curico Unido	4–0	61%
25 Oct	Deportes Temuco – San Marcos de Arica	1–2	29%
24 Oct	Rangers de Talca – Cobreloa	0–1	—
24 Oct	Deportes Copiapo – Deportes Santa Cruz	1–1	25%
24 Oct	D. Puerto Montt – Union San Felipe	3–1	50%
24 Oct	San Luis – Recoleta	1–1	22%
24 Oct	Union Espanola – Santiago Wanderers	1–2	26%
23 Oct	Deportes Iquique – Magallanes	4–1	56%
19 Oct	Union Espanola – Deportes Copiapo	1–0	44%
18 Oct	Deportes Santa Cruz – Antofagasta	0–0	27%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Chile Primera B

Across the matches we priced in Chile Primera B, the market's average 1X2 margin is 10.11%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Betano at 7.13%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Betano → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Tue, 27 Oct · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cobreloa	29	15	9	5	52	30	+22	54
2	San Luis	29	15	9	5	44	30	+14	54
3	Santiago Wanderers	29	14	8	7	48	32	+16	50
4	Antofagasta	29	13	9	7	51	26	+25	48
5	Magallanes	29	13	7	9	45	44	+1	46
6	San Marcos de Arica	29	11	10	8	35	28	+7	43
7	Recoleta	29	11	9	9	41	43	-2	42
8	Deportes Copiapo	29	11	8	10	43	42	+1	41
9	Union Espanola	29	11	6	12	34	37	-3	39
10	Deportes Iquique	29	9	11	9	42	33	+9	38
11	D. Puerto Montt	29	11	5	13	29	36	-7	38
12	Deportes Temuco	29	9	9	11	45	41	+4	36
13	Curico Unido	29	7	10	12	26	46	-20	31
14	Deportes Santa Cruz	29	4	12	13	29	43	-14	24
15	Union San Felipe	29	5	8	16	19	53	-34	23
16	Rangers de Talca	29	5	6	18	28	47	-19	21

Team stats this season

228 matches this season: 2.63 goals per game, 48% over 2.5, 55% both teams scored.

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets
Santiago Wanderers	28	1.71	1.07	57%	61%	29%
Recoleta	28	1.39	1.54	57%	68%	21%
Magallanes	29	1.55	1.52	55%	66%	21%
Deportes Copiapo	29	1.48	1.45	55%	59%	21%
Antofagasta	29	1.76	0.90	52%	45%	45%
Deportes Temuco	29	1.55	1.41	52%	66%	14%
Curico Unido	29	0.90	1.59	52%	48%	28%
Union Espanola	28	1.14	1.32	50%	61%	21%
Cobreloa	29	1.79	1.03	45%	59%	38%
San Luis	28	1.57	1.00	43%	64%	32%
Deportes Iquique	28	1.32	1.18	43%	57%	25%
San Marcos de Arica	28	1.21	0.96	43%	50%	32%
Deportes Santa Cruz	28	1.00	1.50	43%	57%	25%
Rangers de Talca	29	0.97	1.62	41%	52%	17%
Union San Felipe	28	0.68	1.71	39%	36%	25%
D. Puerto Montt	29	1.00	1.24	38%	38%	35%

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Santiago Wanderers	1.8	62.6%	0%
2	Magallanes	4.4	11.8%	0.1%
3	Antofagasta	5	5.6%	0%
4	San Luis	5	7.7%	0%
5	Cobreloa	6.5	2.8%	0.1%
6	Union Espanola	6.7	2.4%	0.4%
7	Recoleta	6.8	3.4%	0.6%
8	Deportes Iquique	7.5	1.3%	0.7%
9	D. Puerto Montt	7.5	1.6%	0.9%
10	Rangers de Talca	9	0.5%	2.1%
11	Deportes Copiapo	9.7	0.3%	6%
12	San Marcos de Arica	11.3	0%	11.5%
13	Curico Unido	13	0%	32.3%
14	Deportes Santa Cruz	13.8	0%	45.8%
15	Union San Felipe	13.8	0%	45.8%
16	Deportes Temuco	14.1	0%	53.6%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Chile Primera B predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Chile Primera B is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Chile Primera B fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Chile Primera B betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Chile Primera B match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit