Czech Republic

Czech FNL predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Czech FNL fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

Fri · 16:00 UTC Vlašim – Ústí nad Labem
Fri · 17:00 UTC Karviná – Slavia Praha II
Sat · 16:00 UTC Příbram – Táborsko
Sat · 17:00 UTC Třinec – Arsenal Česká Lípa
Sun · 09:15 UTC Viktoria Žižkov – Dukla Praha
Sun · 13:00 UTC Kladno – Hanácká
Sun · 14:00 UTC Prostějov – Opava
Mon · 16:00 UTC Baník Ostrava II – Vysočina Jihlava
Fri · 17:00 UTC Dukla Praha – Příbram
Fri · 17:00 UTC Opava – Vlašim

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
25 Oct	Slavia Praha II – Prostějov	5–1	51%
24 Oct	Hanácká – Viktoria Žižkov	2–1	36%
24 Oct	Arsenal Česká Lípa – Příbram	2–2	27%
23 Oct	Vysočina Jihlava – Vlašim	2–0	50%
23 Oct	Táborsko – Třinec	1–1	22%
23 Oct	Opava – Baník Ostrava II	1–1	25%
23 Oct	Dukla Praha – Kladno	1–1	22%
23 Oct	Ústí nad Labem – Karviná	1–3	41%
18 Oct	Kladno – Arsenal Česká Lípa	2–3	23%
18 Oct	Viktoria Žižkov – Táborsko	2–2	26%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Czech FNL

Across the matches we priced in Czech FNL, the market's average 1X2 margin is 10.19%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is BetVictor at 7.04%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

BetVictor → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — computed from our own settled results · 2026/27 season

Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Karviná	12	9	0	3	26	13	+13	27
2	Vysočina Jihlava	12	7	2	3	21	12	+9	23
3	Dukla Praha	12	6	3	3	22	19	+3	21
4	Ústí nad Labem	12	5	4	3	20	16	+4	19
5	Vlašim	12	5	3	4	20	16	+4	18
6	Příbram	12	4	6	2	22	20	+2	18
7	Slavia Praha II	12	4	4	4	25	20	+5	16
8	Baník Ostrava II	12	4	3	5	20	17	+3	15
9	Táborsko	12	3	6	3	16	16	+0	15
10	Kladno	12	3	5	4	17	18	-1	14
11	Opava	12	3	5	4	18	21	-3	14
12	Viktoria Žižkov	12	4	2	6	13	21	-8	14
13	Arsenal Česká Lípa	12	3	4	5	16	22	-6	13
14	Třinec	12	2	5	5	14	21	-7	11
15	Prostějov	12	1	7	4	16	21	-5	10
16	Hanácká	12	2	3	7	11	24	-13	9

Team stats this season

96 matches this season: 3.09 goals per game, 63% over 2.5, 68% both teams scored.

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets
Příbram	12	1.83	1.67	83%	92%	8%
Dukla Praha	12	1.83	1.58	75%	75%	17%
Karviná	12	2.17	1.08	67%	50%	42%
Slavia Praha II	12	2.08	1.67	67%	83%	0%
Opava	12	1.50	1.75	67%	75%	8%
Prostějov	12	1.33	1.75	67%	83%	8%
Viktoria Žižkov	12	1.08	1.75	67%	50%	25%
Vysočina Jihlava	12	1.75	1.00	58%	50%	42%
Ústí nad Labem	12	1.67	1.33	58%	67%	33%
Vlašim	12	1.67	1.33	58%	67%	17%
Baník Ostrava II	12	1.67	1.42	58%	75%	0%
Arsenal Česká Lípa	12	1.33	1.83	58%	67%	17%
Třinec	12	1.17	1.75	58%	67%	17%
Hanácká	12	0.92	2.00	58%	58%	8%
Kladno	12	1.42	1.50	50%	67%	25%
Táborsko	12	1.33	1.33	50%	58%	25%

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Karviná	1.8	64.2%	0%
2	Vysočina Jihlava	4.5	11.7%	0.2%
3	Příbram	5.7	5.6%	0.9%
4	Ústí nad Labem	5.8	5.9%	0.9%
5	Vlašim	6.5	4%	1.8%
6	Dukla Praha	6.6	3.1%	1.2%
7	Baník Ostrava II	8.1	1.8%	4.3%
8	Táborsko	8.8	1.1%	6.1%
9	Kladno	9	0.7%	7.6%
10	Slavia Praha II	9.4	0.7%	8.2%
11	Opava	9.9	0.5%	11.3%
12	Arsenal Česká Lípa	10.3	0.4%	12.9%
13	Viktoria Žižkov	10.5	0.3%	13.6%
14	Třinec	11.6	0.1%	23.4%
15	Prostějov	13.6	0%	49.3%
16	Hanácká	14.1	0%	58.6%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Czech FNL predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Czech FNL is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Czech FNL fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Czech FNL betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Czech FNL match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit