Czech Republic

Czech Liga predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Czech Liga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

Sat · 14:00 UTC FK Jablonec – Slavia Praha
Sat · 14:00 UTC Slovácko – Teplice
Sat · 14:00 UTC Pardubice – Slovan Liberec
Sat · 14:00 UTC Artis – Zlin
Sat · 17:00 UTC Sigma Olomouc – Zbrojovka Brno
Sun · 12:00 UTC Mlada Boleslav – Hradec Králové
Sun · 14:00 UTC Baník Ostrava – Plzen
Sun · 17:00 UTC Bohemians 1905 – Sparta Praha
Sat · 14:00 UTC Zlin – Slovácko
Sat · 14:00 UTC Slovan Liberec – Bohemians 1905

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
25 Oct	Plzen – Pardubice	1–2	20%
25 Oct	Sparta Praha – Slovácko	5–1	78%
25 Oct	Hradec Králové – FK Jablonec	1–2	30%
24 Oct	Slavia Praha – Mlada Boleslav	1–1	13%
24 Oct	Zbrojovka Brno – Bohemians 1905	2–2	32%
24 Oct	Teplice – Artis	0–0	25%
24 Oct	Zlin – Sigma Olomouc	1–1	25%
18 Oct	FK Jablonec – Plzen	2–3	32%
18 Oct	Baník Ostrava – Sparta Praha	0–0	21%
18 Oct	Slovácko – Zbrojovka Brno	1–2	34%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Czech Liga

Across the matches we priced in Czech Liga, the market's average 1X2 margin is 8.32%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Dafabet at 4.98%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Dafabet → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Tue, 27 Oct · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Slavia Praha	12	8	4	0	27	7	+20	28
2	Sparta Praha	12	7	1	4	25	13	+12	22
3	Mlada Boleslav	12	6	3	3	19	14	+5	21
4	Sigma Olomouc	12	6	3	3	19	15	+4	21
5	Slovan Liberec	11	6	2	3	13	7	+6	20
6	FK Jablonec	12	6	2	4	16	13	+3	20
7	Zbrojovka Brno	12	6	2	4	16	16	+0	20
8	Teplice	12	5	3	4	18	17	+1	18
9	Plzen	12	4	4	4	24	21	+3	16
10	Bohemians 1905	11	4	4	3	13	13	+0	16
11	Hradec Králové	12	4	3	5	11	15	-4	15
12	Pardubice	12	4	2	6	14	17	-3	14
13	Baník Ostrava	11	3	2	6	7	18	-11	11
14	Artis	11	2	3	6	11	20	-9	9
15	Slovácko	12	1	4	7	11	23	-12	7
16	Zlin	12	0	2	10	9	24	-15	2

Team stats this season

94 matches this season: 2.69 goals per game, 53% over 2.5, 51% both teams scored. xG 2.78 per match (from 93 matches); 10.0 corners and 3.8 cards per match (from 93 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	xG for / against	Corners	Cards
Plzen	12	2.00	1.75	75%	75%	25%	1.62 / 1.30	10.8	2.2
Sparta Praha	12	2.08	1.08	67%	42%	42%	1.75 / 1.21	10.9	1.8
Sigma Olomouc	12	1.58	1.25	67%	67%	17%	1.20 / 1.28	10.1	1.5
Pardubice	12	1.17	1.42	67%	67%	17%	1.36 / 1.34	9.3	2.4
Artis	11	1.00	1.82	64%	55%	18%	1.09 / 1.57	8.3	1.7
Slavia Praha	12	2.25	0.58	58%	50%	50%	2.37 / 0.94	10.5	1.9
Baník Ostrava	11	0.64	1.64	55%	27%	36%	1.27 / 1.92	9.4	1.8
Mlada Boleslav	12	1.58	1.17	50%	42%	33%	1.38 / 2.04	11.4	1.6
Zbrojovka Brno	12	1.33	1.33	50%	50%	17%	1.31 / 1.40	9.7	1.3
Slovácko	12	0.92	1.92	50%	67%	17%	0.94 / 1.96	8.3	2.3
Hradec Králové	12	0.92	1.25	50%	50%	25%	1.17 / 1.23	11.0	1.9
Zlin	12	0.75	2.00	50%	58%	0%	0.79 / 1.57	9.8	2.3
Bohemians 1905	11	1.18	1.18	46%	46%	46%	1.45 / 1.23	9.5	1.8
FK Jablonec	12	1.33	1.08	42%	50%	33%	1.55 / 1.09	9.9	1.3
Teplice	12	1.50	1.42	33%	42%	33%	1.43 / 1.26	10.4	2.1
Slovan Liberec	11	1.18	0.64	27%	27%	46%	1.58 / 0.90	9.9	2.6

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Slavia Praha	1.3	80.5%	0%
2	Sparta Praha	3.4	10%	0%
3	Zbrojovka Brno	4.5	3.8%	0%
4	FK Jablonec	5.6	2%	0%
5	Sigma Olomouc	6.3	1.3%	0%
6	Mlada Boleslav	6.5	1%	0.1%
7	Slovan Liberec	6.9	0.7%	0%
8	Plzen	7.2	0.4%	0.1%
9	Teplice	8.4	0.2%	0.3%
10	Hradec Králové	9.1	0.1%	0.9%
11	Bohemians 1905	9.7	0.1%	1.3%
12	Pardubice	11.1	0%	3.8%
13	Baník Ostrava	12.7	0%	14.4%
14	Artis	13	0%	19.7%
15	Slovácko	14.6	0%	65.8%
16	Zlin	15.7	0%	93.6%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Czech Liga predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Czech Liga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Czech Liga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Czech Liga betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Czech Liga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit