FA Cup predictions
Fair, margin-free probabilities for every FA Cup fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
Upcoming audited matches
benchmark Pinnacle · Edge Score flags real valueNo upcoming audited matches in this league right now. The audit runs continuously — check back soon.
Bookmaker margins on FA Cup
Across the matches we priced in FA Cup, the market's average 1X2 margin is 10.68%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Codere (IT) at 7.01%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.
Codere (IT) → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →
Team stats this season
315 matches this season: 3.21 goals per game, 64% over 2.5, 58% both teams scored. xG — per match (from 0 matches); 10.4 corners and 3.8 cards per match (from 25 matches with statistics).
| Team | MP | GF | GA | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Salisbury |
3 | 4.00 | 0.33 | 100% | 33% | 67% |
 Cambridge City |
3 | 3.33 | 1.33 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
 Dover |
3 | 3.00 | 1.67 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
 Spennymoor Town |
3 | 3.00 | 1.33 | 100% | 67% | 33% |
 Real Bedford |
3 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
 Enfield Town |
3 | 2.67 | 2.33 | 100% | 67% | 33% |
 Hungerford Town |
3 | 2.67 | 1.33 | 100% | 67% | 33% |
 Dulwich Hamlet |
3 | 2.67 | 2.00 | 100% | 33% | 33% |
 Ware |
3 | 2.67 | 3.67 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
 AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
4 | 2.50 | 0.75 | 100% | 75% | 25% |
 Southall |
3 | 2.33 | 2.00 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
 Braintree |
3 | 2.33 | 1.67 | 100% | 67% | 33% |
 Worksop Town |
3 | 2.33 | 2.33 | 100% | 67% | 0% |
 Mulbarton Wanderers |
3 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 100% | 67% | 33% |
 Trafford |
4 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 100% | 75% | 0% |
 Cirencester Town |
4 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 100% | 50% | 25% |
 South Liverpool |
3 | 1.33 | 2.00 | 100% | 67% | 0% |
 Brentwood Town |
5 | 2.40 | 1.60 | 80% | 80% | 20% |
 Guiseley AFC |
5 | 2.40 | 0.80 | 80% | 60% | 40% |
 Crowborough Athletic |
5 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 80% | 100% | 0% |
 Atherton Collieries |
5 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 80% | 40% | 40% |
 Uxbridge |
5 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 80% | 40% | 40% |
 Leiston |
5 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 80% | 40% | 40% |
 Bury |
4 | 4.00 | 0.75 | 75% | 75% | 25% |
 United of Manchester |
4 | 3.00 | 0.50 | 75% | 50% | 50% |
 Berkhamsted |
4 | 2.75 | 1.00 | 75% | 75% | 25% |
 Anstey Nomads |
4 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 75% | 75% | 25% |
 Gainsborough Trinity |
4 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 75% | 75% | 25% |
 Thame United |
4 | 2.25 | 1.75 | 75% | 75% | 0% |
 Bury Town |
4 | 2.25 | 2.50 | 75% | 75% | 0% |
 Alvechurch |
4 | 2.25 | 1.00 | 75% | 75% | 25% |
 Warrington Town |
4 | 2.25 | 1.00 | 75% | 25% | 50% |
 Tadley Calleva |
4 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 75% | 75% | 25% |
 Dorking Wanderers |
4 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 75% | 75% | 25% |
 Eastbourne Borough |
4 | 2.00 | 1.25 | 75% | 25% | 50% |
 Bedford Town |
4 | 1.75 | 1.00 | 75% | 75% | 25% |
 Kettering Town |
4 | 1.75 | 1.50 | 75% | 75% | 25% |
 Needham Market |
4 | 1.50 | 1.75 | 75% | 50% | 25% |
 Exmouth |
4 | 1.50 | 1.75 | 75% | 75% | 25% |
 South Shields |
3 | 3.67 | 1.00 | 67% | 33% | 67% |
 Chesham United |
3 | 3.67 | 1.67 | 67% | 67% | 33% |
 Hanworth Villa |
3 | 3.33 | 0.67 | 67% | 33% | 33% |
 Waltham Abbey |
3 | 2.67 | 1.33 | 67% | 33% | 33% |
 Harborough Town |
3 | 2.33 | 1.00 | 67% | 67% | 33% |
 Morecambe |
3 | 2.00 | 0.67 | 67% | 33% | 67% |
 Weymouth |
3 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 67% | 67% | 33% |
 Bromsgrove Sporting |
3 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 67% | 67% | 33% |
 Buckhurst Hill |
3 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 67% | 67% | 33% |
 Hitchin Town |
3 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 67% | 67% | 33% |
 Dagenham & Redbridge |
3 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 67% | 67% | 33% |
 Leamington |
3 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 67% | 67% | 0% |
 Coventry United |
3 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 67% | 67% | 33% |
 Boldmere St. Michaels |
3 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 67% | 100% | 0% |
 Welling United |
3 | 1.33 | 2.00 | 67% | 100% | 0% |
 Swindon Supermarine |
3 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 67% | 67% | 33% |
 Hanwell Town |
3 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 67% | 67% | 33% |
 Burgess Hill Town |
3 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 67% | 67% | 33% |
 Stafford Rangers |
5 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 60% | 80% | 20% |
 SE Dons |
4 | 2.50 | 1.25 | 50% | 50% | 25% |
 Plymouth Parkway |
4 | 2.25 | 0.50 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
 Spalding United |
4 | 2.25 | 0.75 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
 Leatherhead |
4 | 2.00 | 0.75 | 50% | 25% | 75% |
 Redditch United |
4 | 2.00 | 0.75 | 50% | 25% | 50% |
 Dartford |
4 | 2.00 | 1.25 | 50% | 75% | 25% |
 St Albans City |
4 | 1.75 | 0.75 | 50% | 25% | 75% |
 Halesowen Town |
4 | 1.75 | 1.00 | 50% | 75% | 25% |
 Macclesfield |
4 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 50% | 100% | 0% |
 Barton Town Old Boys |
4 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
 Wingate & Finchley |
6 | 1.33 | 1.17 | 50% | 67% | 33% |
 Gloucester City |
5 | 1.80 | 0.40 | 40% | 40% | 60% |
 Worcester City |
5 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 40% | 80% | 20% |
 Chertsey Town |
5 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 40% | 60% | 20% |
 Chippenham Town |
5 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 40% | 60% | 20% |
 Oxford City |
3 | 3.00 | 0.33 | 33% | 33% | 67% |
 Marine |
3 | 2.33 | 0.67 | 33% | 33% | 67% |
 Torquay |
3 | 2.33 | 0.67 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
 Chorley |
3 | 2.00 | 0.67 | 33% | 67% | 33% |
 Scarborough Athletic |
3 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 33% | 67% | 33% |
 Chatham Town |
3 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 33% | 0% | 67% |
 Cray Wanderers |
6 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 33% | 33% | 67% |
 Yate Town |
3 | 1.33 | 0.33 | 33% | 33% | 67% |
 Pagham |
3 | 1.00 | 2.33 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
 Sheppey United |
3 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
 Bradford (Park Avenue) |
3 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
 AFC Stoneham |
3 | 0.67 | 2.00 | 33% | 33% | 67% |
 AFC Emley |
3 | 0.33 | 1.67 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
 Truro City |
4 | 1.75 | 0.50 | 25% | 25% | 50% |
 Sholing |
4 | 1.75 | 0.25 | 25% | 25% | 75% |
 Wimborne Town |
6 | 0.83 | 0.50 | 17% | 50% | 50% |
 Lancaster City |
3 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0% | 33% | 33% |
 Chelmsford City |
3 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0% | 0% | 67% |
 Canvey Island |
3 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0% | 33% | 33% |
Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.
Football predictions, answered honestly
What are the best FA Cup predictions?
The sharpest public forecast for FA Cup is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every FA Cup fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
Do you offer FA Cup betting tips?
We publish an audit, not tips. For each FA Cup match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.
Measured by TipsAudit
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- Is FootballPredictions.net accurate? Audited against the closing line
- Independent tipster audit: verified track records
- How to check if a tipster is legit
- Can you verify a Telegram tipster? What we found reading their tips
- Are free football prediction sites accurate? We measure them in public
- Which bookmaker has the lowest margin? Live index
- Free value bet finder for football
- What is closing line value (CLV)?
- Free football predictions dataset with closing odds (CSV)
- Our full track record: every prediction, losses included