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Hungary

Hungary NB I predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Hungary NB I fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

  • Budapest Honved – Kisvarda FC
  • Zalaegerszegi TE – MTK Budapest
  • Gyori ETO FC – Vasas
  • Puskas Academy – Debreceni VSC
  • Ferencvarosi TC – Paks
  • Ujpest – Nyiregyhaza
  • Paks – Zalaegerszegi TE
  • MTK Budapest – Budapest Honved
  • Kisvarda FC – Puskas Academy
  • Nyiregyhaza – Gyori ETO FC

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

DateMatchScoreMarket gave this result
Ferencvarosi TC – MTK Budapest 5–0 69%
Puskas Academy – Nyiregyhaza 1–2 27%
Vasas – Paks 0–2 35%
Zalaegerszegi TE – Kisvarda FC 1–1 22%
Gyori ETO FC – Ujpest 1–0 39%
Budapest Honved – Debreceni VSC 0–2 40%
Kisvarda FC – Ferencvarosi TC 1–1 20%
Debreceni VSC – Zalaegerszegi TE 3–0 53%
Ujpest – Puskas Academy 0–1 32%
Paks – Gyori ETO FC 1–2 24%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of . We read it again after matches finish.

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Gyori ETO FC 11 6 3 2 19 12 +7 21
2 Puskas Academy 11 7 0 4 16 12 +4 21
3 Ferencvarosi TC 10 4 5 1 18 10 +8 17
4 Paks 11 5 2 4 22 19 +3 17
5 Debreceni VSC 11 4 4 3 18 16 +2 16
6 Vasas 11 4 3 4 18 15 +3 15
7 Ujpest 11 4 3 4 18 16 +2 15
8 Kisvarda FC 11 2 6 3 12 13 -1 12
9 MTK Budapest 11 3 3 5 16 22 -6 12
10 Nyiregyhaza 11 3 2 6 12 21 -9 11
11 Budapest Honved 10 2 4 4 13 17 -4 10
12 Zalaegerszegi TE 11 3 1 7 13 22 -9 10

Team stats this season

65 matches this season: 3.00 goals per game, 55% over 2.5, 60% both teams scored. xG 2.78 per match (from 18 matches); 9.9 corners and 4.7 cards per match (from 56 matches with statistics).

TeamMPGFGA Over 2.5BTTSClean sheets xG for / against CornersCards
MTK Budapest 111.452.00 82%64%18% 0.65 / 2.43 10.01.7
Paks 112.001.73 64%64%36% 1.70 / 1.08 10.82.1
Gyori ETO FC 111.731.09 64%55%27% 1.54 / 1.97 10.12.3
Zalaegerszegi TE 111.182.00 64%36%9% 1.70 / 0.83 7.82.3
Nyiregyhaza 111.091.91 64%73%0% 0.97 / 1.67 9.73.3
Vasas 111.641.36 55%55%18% 1.32 / 0.90 8.93.0
Ujpest 111.641.45 55%73%0% 2.07 / 1.11 8.91.9
Ferencvarosi TC 101.801.00 50%60%40% 2.53 / 0.93 8.91.8
Budapest Honved 101.301.70 50%70%20% 0.97 / 1.35 9.42.6
Debreceni VSC 111.641.45 46%55%36% 1.46 / 1.12 12.12.8
Puskas Academy 111.451.09 46%46%36% 1.05 / 1.58 10.43.0
Kisvarda FC 111.091.18 27%73%18% 0.70 / 1.70 11.21.8

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

# Team Avg. finish P(title) P(relegation)
1 Ferencvarosi TC 1.8 51.3% 0%
2 Gyori ETO FC 2.2 34.5% 0%
3 Puskas Academy 3.7 8.8% 0.2%
4 Paks 5.2 2.1% 2.2%
5 Vasas 5.6 1.7% 2.9%
6 Debreceni VSC 5.8 1.4% 3.2%
7 Ujpest 7.7 0.1% 14%
8 Budapest Honved 8.3 0.1% 21.5%
9 Kisvarda FC 9.1 0% 32%
10 MTK Budapest 9.2 0% 35.4%
11 Nyiregyhaza 9.5 0% 41.6%
12 Zalaegerszegi TE 9.8 0% 47%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Hungary NB I predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Hungary NB I is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Hungary NB I fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Hungary NB I betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Hungary NB I match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

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