Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Hungary NB I fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyori ETO FC | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 64 | 29 | +35 | 69 |
| 2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 68 | 34 | +34 | 67 |
| 3 | Paks | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 64 | 45 | +19 | 55 |
| 4 | Debreceni VSC | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 48 | 40 | +8 | 52 |
| 5 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 43 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 42 | +1 | 46 |
| 7 | Nyiregyhaza | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 42 |
| 8 | MTK Budapest | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Kisvarda FC | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 40 |
| 10 | Ujpest | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 37 |
| 11 | Diosgyori VTK | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 28 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcikai | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 22 |
| # | Team | Avg. finish | P(title) | P(relegation) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferencvarosi TC | 2.1 | 48.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | Gyori ETO FC | 2.9 | 27.5% | 0.3% |
| 3 | Vasas | 4.8 | 7.2% | 3% |
| 4 | Paks | 5.1 | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| 5 | Puskas Academy | 5.8 | 3.3% | 6% |
| 6 | Budapest Honved | 5.9 | 4.1% | 6% |
| 7 | Debreceni VSC | 7.7 | 0.9% | 19.4% |
| 8 | Nyiregyhaza | 7.8 | 0.8% | 20% |
| 9 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 8 | 1% | 22.7% |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 8.9 | 0.3% | 33.1% |
| 11 | Kisvarda FC | 9.2 | 0.1% | 38.5% |
| 12 | Ujpest | 9.7 | 0.1% | 47% |
How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.
The sharpest public forecast for Hungary NB I is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Hungary NB I fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Hungary NB I match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.