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Jupiler Pro League predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Jupiler Pro League fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated between 21:33 UTC and 21:34 UTC

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time	Match	1	X	2	Value
Wed · 19:30 UTC	KortrijkKV Mechelen	36% 2.65 fair 2.78	27% 3.50 fair 3.67	37% 2.62 fair 2.72	Value expired
Fri · 19:45 UTC	Standard LiegeSK Beveren	53% 1.83 fair 1.88	23% 4.00 fair 4.26	23% 4.25 fair 4.31	No value
Sat · 15:00 UTC	KVC WesterloCharleroi	32% 2.95 fair 3.17	26% 3.75 fair 3.91	43% 2.32 fair 2.34	No value
Sat · 19:45 UTC	AntwerpLommel United	52% 1.89 fair 1.92	24% 3.94 fair 4.16	24% 3.90 fair 4.20	No value
Sat · 19:45 UTC	RAAL La LouvièreCercle Brugge	35% 2.70 fair 2.83	27% 3.51 fair 3.65	37% 2.56 fair 2.68	No value
Sun · 12:30 UTC	Club Brugge KVAnderlecht	63% 1.52 fair 1.58	19% 4.83 fair 5.26	18% 5.50 fair 5.66	No value
Sun · 17:30 UTC	Union St. GilloiseGenk	59% 1.67 fair 1.70	22% 4.30 fair 4.52	19% 5.00 fair 5.28	Value expired
Sun · 18:15 UTC	St. TruidenZulte Waregem	54% 1.78 fair 1.84	23% 4.11 fair 4.31	23% 4.21 fair 4.44	No value

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
01 Nov	Charleroi – RAAL La Louvière	5–2	60%
01 Nov	Lommel United – Gent	2–0	24%
01 Nov	St. Truiden – OH Leuven	1–2	19%
01 Nov	Cercle Brugge – Antwerp	2–1	44%
31 Oct	SK Beveren – Union St. Gilloise	1–2	67%
31 Oct	Anderlecht – KVC Westerlo	4–1	63%
31 Oct	Standard Liege – Kortrijk	1–1	23%
31 Oct	KV Mechelen – Genk	1–0	24%
30 Oct	Zulte Waregem – Club Brugge KV	2–4	69%
25 Oct	Union St. Gilloise – Cercle Brugge	5–2	74%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Jupiler Pro League

Across the matches we priced in Jupiler Pro League, the market's average 1X2 margin is 8.47%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 3.87%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Mon, 02 Nov · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Club Brugge KV	10	9	0	1	26	8	+18	27
2	Union St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	29	7	+22	26
3	Gent	10	8	1	1	19	6	+13	25
4	Charleroi	10	8	0	2	21	12	+9	24
5	Anderlecht	10	6	1	3	13	11	+2	19
6	Genk	10	4	3	3	18	14	+4	15
7	Lommel United	10	4	3	3	13	11	+2	15
8	KVC Westerlo	10	4	2	4	25	25	+0	14
9	Standard Liege	10	3	3	4	15	16	-1	12
10	Zulte Waregem	10	3	2	5	12	16	-4	11
11	Antwerp	10	3	1	6	16	22	-6	10
12	SK Beveren	10	3	1	6	13	20	-7	10
13	OH Leuven	10	2	3	5	10	17	-7	9
14	KV Mechelen	9	2	3	4	10	17	-7	9
15	St. Truiden	10	2	2	6	18	21	-3	8
16	RAAL La Louvière	10	2	1	7	13	23	-10	7
17	Cercle Brugge	10	1	3	6	13	22	-9	6
18	Kortrijk	9	1	1	7	3	19	-16	4

Top scorers — 2026/27 · updated 2 Nov 2026

#	Player	Team	Goals	Assists
1	N. Tresoldi	Club Brugge KV	8	1
2	N. Bassette	KVC Westerlo	7	0
3	R. Durosinmi	Genk	6	0
4	S. Saito	KVC Westerlo	5	1
4	H. Vetlesen	Club Brugge KV	5	1

Top scorers, assists and cards →

Team stats this season

89 matches this season: 3.20 goals per game, 64% over 2.5, 48% both teams scored. xG 3.04 per match (from 88 matches); 10.3 corners and 3.7 cards per match (from 89 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	xG for / against	Corners	Cards
KVC Westerlo	10	2.50	2.50	90%	70%	20%	1.57 / 1.81	9.4	1.3
Club Brugge KV	10	2.60	0.80	80%	50%	50%	2.36 / 1.33	11.4	1.4
Antwerp	10	1.60	2.20	80%	60%	20%	1.41 / 2.12	9.9	2.5
RAAL La Louvière	10	1.30	2.30	80%	50%	20%	1.26 / 1.95	8.9	2.7
Union St. Gilloise	10	2.90	0.70	70%	50%	50%	1.86 / 1.02	9.7	1.8
St. Truiden	10	1.80	2.10	70%	60%	10%	2.04 / 1.79	10.5	2.1
Genk	10	1.80	1.40	70%	50%	30%	1.92 / 1.00	10.5	2.3
Cercle Brugge	10	1.30	2.20	70%	70%	0%	1.46 / 1.74	11.5	1.4
Charleroi	10	2.10	1.20	60%	50%	40%	1.92 / 1.13	9.9	1.7
Standard Liege	10	1.50	1.60	60%	70%	20%	1.69 / 1.72	11.7	1.6
Anderlecht	10	1.30	1.10	60%	30%	40%	1.64 / 0.94	9.6	2.3
SK Beveren	10	1.30	1.80	60%	40%	30%	1.18 / 1.71	10.0	2.1
OH Leuven	10	1.00	1.70	60%	60%	10%	1.34 / 1.92	13.0	2.3
Kortrijk	9	0.33	2.11	56%	22%	11%	0.88 / 1.98	9.6	2.4
Gent	10	1.90	0.60	50%	40%	50%	1.28 / 0.82	8.5	1.8
Zulte Waregem	10	1.00	1.60	50%	30%	30%	1.20 / 1.36	10.3	1.3
KV Mechelen	9	1.11	1.89	44%	33%	22%	1.07 / 1.48	9.1	1.7
Lommel United	10	1.30	1.10	40%	30%	40%	1.02 / 1.60	11.4	1.0

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Club Brugge KV	1.5	58.9%	0%
2	Union St. Gilloise	1.8	37.4%	0%
3	Gent	3.8	2.5%	0%
4	Charleroi	4.7	0.7%	0%
5	Anderlecht	5	0.4%	0%
6	Genk	6.5	0.1%	0.2%
7	Lommel United	7.5	0%	0.5%
8	KVC Westerlo	9.1	0%	2.4%
9	Zulte Waregem	11.2	0%	9.8%
10	St. Truiden	11.4	0%	11%
11	Standard Liege	11.4	0%	11%
12	KV Mechelen	11.9	0%	14.3%
13	Antwerp	12.3	0%	16.5%
14	SK Beveren	12.4	0%	17.9%
15	OH Leuven	13.9	0%	35.5%
16	Cercle Brugge	14.6	0%	44.2%
17	RAAL La Louvière	15.7	0%	63.7%
18	Kortrijk	16.2	0%	73.1%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Jupiler Pro League predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Jupiler Pro League is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Jupiler Pro League fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Jupiler Pro League betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Jupiler Pro League match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit