Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Premier League predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Kazakhstan Premier League fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

Sat · 10:00 UTC Kairat Almaty – Altay
Sat · 10:00 UTC FK Tobol Kostanay – Aktobe
Sat · 10:00 UTC Kaspiy – Kyzyl-Zhar
Sat · 10:00 UTC Zhetysu – FC Astana
Sat · 10:00 UTC Irtysh – Ordabasy
Sat · 10:00 UTC Zhenys – Kaisar
Sat · 10:00 UTC Ulytau – Atyrau
Sat · 10:00 UTC Yelimay Semey – Okzhetpes

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
25 Oct	FC Astana – Kaisar	0–0	19%
25 Oct	Aktobe – Kairat Almaty	2–2	24%
25 Oct	Atyrau – Irtysh	2–3	31%
25 Oct	Altay – Yelimay Semey	2–2	—
24 Oct	Ordabasy – Zhenys	1–1	11%
24 Oct	Kyzyl-Zhar – Ulytau	1–0	62%
24 Oct	Zhetysu – FK Tobol Kostanay	1–1	25%
24 Oct	Okzhetpes – Kaspiy	3–0	66%
18 Oct	FC Astana – Kaspiy	2–2	—
18 Oct	Kairat Almaty – Irtysh	5–0	—

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Kazakhstan Premier League

Across the matches we priced in Kazakhstan Premier League, the market's average 1X2 margin is 10.45%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is 1xBet at 6.46%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

1xBet → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Tue, 27 Oct · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	29	21	5	3	59	21	+38	68
2	Kairat Almaty	29	19	7	3	59	22	+37	64
3	FC Astana	29	15	8	6	46	29	+17	53
4	Okzhetpes	29	15	6	8	45	37	+8	51
5	Aktobe	29	13	7	9	44	37	+7	46
6	Yelimay Semey	29	12	9	8	42	40	+2	45
7	FK Tobol Kostanay	29	12	5	12	40	39	+1	41
8	Ulytau	29	9	8	12	27	35	-8	35
9	Zhenys	29	8	9	12	30	39	-9	33
10	Kaspiy	29	9	6	14	31	42	-11	33
11	Kyzyl-Zhar	29	8	6	15	29	41	-12	30
12	Irtysh	29	7	8	14	29	44	-15	29
13	Altay	29	6	9	14	30	41	-11	27
14	Atyrau	29	5	12	12	24	35	-11	27
15	Zhetysu	29	6	8	15	29	47	-18	26
16	Kaisar	29	4	13	12	24	39	-15	25

Team stats this season

232 matches this season: 2.54 goals per game, 50% over 2.5, 55% both teams scored.

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets
Okzhetpes	29	1.55	1.28	62%	66%	28%
Kairat Almaty	29	2.03	0.76	59%	48%	48%
Ordabasy	29	2.03	0.72	59%	55%	45%
Yelimay Semey	29	1.45	1.38	59%	66%	21%
Aktobe	29	1.52	1.28	55%	62%	24%
Kaspiy	29	1.07	1.45	52%	52%	21%
Irtysh	29	1.00	1.52	52%	55%	10%
Zhetysu	29	1.00	1.62	52%	55%	21%
FC Astana	29	1.59	1.00	48%	48%	35%
FK Tobol Kostanay	29	1.38	1.34	48%	59%	14%
Kyzyl-Zhar	29	1.07	1.38	48%	48%	21%
Zhenys	29	1.03	1.34	45%	52%	31%
Altay	29	1.00	1.48	45%	55%	24%
Ulytau	29	0.93	1.21	41%	48%	28%
Kaisar	29	0.83	1.34	38%	59%	24%
Atyrau	29	0.83	1.21	31%	55%	24%

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	FC Astana	1.9	50.6%	0%
2	Ordabasy	2.5	29.5%	0%
3	Kairat Almaty	3.6	13.9%	0%
4	Kaspiy	5	2.8%	0%
5	Aktobe	6.3	1.2%	0%
6	FK Tobol Kostanay	6.4	0.8%	0%
7	Okzhetpes	7.6	0.3%	0%
8	Zhenys	7.8	0.6%	0.1%
9	Yelimay Semey	8.3	0.2%	0.2%
10	Irtysh	9.2	0%	0.3%
11	Kyzyl-Zhar	10.2	0%	1.3%
12	Ulytau	11	0%	2.3%
13	Altay	11.9	0%	4.1%
14	Kaisar	14.3	0%	48.9%
15	Atyrau	14.5	0%	56.5%
16	Zhetysu	15.4	0%	86.3%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Kazakhstan Premier League predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Kazakhstan Premier League is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Kazakhstan Premier League fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Kazakhstan Premier League betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Kazakhstan Premier League match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit