Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Latvia Virsliga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
No upcoming audited matches in this league right now. The audit runs continuously — check back soon.
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 93 | 33 | +60 | 91 |
| 2 | Riga | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 95 | 29 | +66 | 85 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 54 |
| 4 | Auda | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 47 | +1 | 51 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 45 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 37 |
| 7 | Grobiņa | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 57 | -27 | 37 |
| 8 | FS Jelgava | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 36 |
| 9 | Tukums | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | Metta / LU | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Ogre United | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 61 | -38 | 14 |
| # | Team | Avg. finish | P(title) | P(relegation) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Riga | 1.9 | 46.7% | 0% |
| 2 | Rīgas FS | 2.1 | 38.9% | 0.1% |
| 3 | Auda | 3.8 | 7.5% | 1.2% |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 4.6 | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 4.9 | 1.9% | 3.4% |
| 6 | Super Nova | 6.3 | 0.4% | 12.6% |
| 7 | Ogre United | 6.3 | 0.5% | 14.8% |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 7.8 | 0% | 39.8% |
| 9 | FS Jelgava | 8.5 | 0% | 57.7% |
| 10 | Tukums | 8.8 | 0% | 67.7% |
How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.
The sharpest public forecast for Latvia Virsliga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Latvia Virsliga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Latvia Virsliga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.