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Ligue 2 predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Ligue 2 fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated at 19:34 UTC

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time	Match	1	X	2	Value
Fri · 19:00 UTC	BoulogneAnnecy	38% 2.55 fair 2.66	32% 3.15 fair 3.16	31% 3.05 fair 3.26	No value
Fri · 19:00 UTC	DunkerqueGuingamp	36% 2.65 fair 2.81	27% 3.60 fair 3.77	38% 2.50 fair 2.64	No value
Fri · 19:00 UTC	MontpellierMetz	47% 2.10 fair 2.13	30% 3.60 fair 3.35	23% 3.90 fair 4.31	Value expired

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
02 Nov	RED Star FC 93 – Nancy	1–4	34%
02 Nov	Reims – Sochaux	2–0	57%
31 Oct	Guingamp – Saint Etienne	3–0	24%
31 Oct	Annecy – Montpellier	0–3	42%
30 Oct	Rodez – Dunkerque	1–0	48%
30 Oct	Laval – Boulogne	1–0	37%
30 Oct	Metz – PAU	1–3	26%
30 Oct	Grenoble – Dijon	1–3	43%
30 Oct	Nantes – Clermont Foot	1–1	22%
26 Oct	Boulogne – Reims	1–1	29%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Ligue 2

Across the matches we priced in Ligue 2, the market's average 1X2 margin is 8.89%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 4.08%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Mon, 02 Nov · 21:58 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	11	8	1	2	23	11	+12	25
2	Montpellier	11	7	3	1	16	6	+10	24
3	PAU	11	6	2	3	16	11	+5	20
4	Nancy	10	6	1	3	12	8	+4	19
5	Reims	10	4	6	0	20	12	+8	18
6	RED Star FC 93	10	5	2	3	13	12	+1	17
7	Annecy	11	5	1	5	14	15	-1	16
8	Dijon	11	4	3	4	20	19	+1	15
9	Guingamp	11	4	2	5	16	15	+1	14
10	Metz	11	3	5	3	17	17	+0	14
11	Rodez	11	4	1	6	17	22	-5	13
12	Dunkerque	11	3	3	5	14	17	-3	12
13	Sochaux	10	2	5	3	8	12	-4	11
14	Boulogne	11	1	7	3	7	8	-1	10
15	Nantes	11	2	3	6	12	18	-6	9
16	Laval	11	2	3	6	14	21	-7	9
17	Clermont Foot	11	0	8	3	10	15	-5	8
18	Grenoble	11	2	2	7	10	20	-10	8

Top scorers — 2026/27 · updated 2 Nov 2026

#	Player	Team	Goals	Assists
1	Y. Fofana	Reims	8	1
1	P. Fall	Metz	8	0
3	A. Boakye	Saint Etienne	6	3
4	I. Cardona	Saint Etienne	5	4
4	T. Ballo	Saint Etienne	5	2

Top scorers, assists and cards →

Team stats this season

97 matches this season: 2.66 goals per game, 49% over 2.5, 58% both teams scored. xG 2.74 per match (from 34 matches); 9.3 corners and 4.0 cards per match (from 97 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	xG for / against	Corners	Cards
Saint Etienne	11	2.09	1.00	73%	46%	46%	1.21 / 0.74	9.4	1.8
Dijon	11	1.82	1.73	64%	91%	0%	1.90 / 1.50	8.5	1.4
Rodez	11	1.55	2.00	64%	55%	9%	1.43 / 1.40	10.9	1.5
Guingamp	11	1.45	1.36	64%	55%	27%	1.41 / 1.27	8.1	2.1
Annecy	11	1.27	1.36	64%	64%	27%	1.78 / 1.34	11.2	1.6
Laval	11	1.27	1.91	64%	73%	9%	1.85 / 1.07	9.5	2.4
Reims	10	2.00	1.20	60%	80%	20%	0.64 / 1.52	8.0	1.8
Metz	11	1.55	1.55	55%	82%	9%	1.67 / 1.90	9.6	1.9
Grenoble	11	0.91	1.82	55%	46%	27%	1.19 / 1.74	9.5	2.7
RED Star FC 93	10	1.30	1.20	50%	60%	30%	1.25 / 1.11	9.2	2.7
PAU	11	1.45	0.91	46%	55%	27%	1.51 / 1.68	8.5	2.5
Nantes	11	1.09	1.64	46%	55%	18%	1.17 / 0.75	9.8	2.0
Montpellier	11	1.45	0.55	36%	36%	64%	1.33 / 1.78	9.2	2.4
Dunkerque	11	1.27	1.55	36%	55%	0%	1.16 / 1.53	9.7	2.6
Nancy	10	1.10	0.80	30%	30%	50%	1.70 / 0.73	7.8	1.4
Sochaux	10	0.80	1.20	30%	50%	40%	1.28 / 1.80	10.9	1.3
Clermont Foot	11	0.91	1.36	27%	64%	27%	0.92 / 1.96	8.8	1.5
Boulogne	11	0.64	0.73	9%	46%	36%	1.12 / 0.75	8.9	2.6

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Saint Etienne	2.7	34.5%	0%
2	Montpellier	2.8	33.3%	0%
3	Reims	4.2	13.7%	0%
4	PAU	5.2	6.9%	0.1%
5	RED Star FC 93	5.7	5%	0.4%
6	Annecy	6.8	2.4%	0.6%
7	Nancy	6.9	2.8%	1.3%
8	Rodez	8.6	0.7%	3.1%
9	Sochaux	10.3	0.3%	8.4%
10	Guingamp	10.7	0.1%	9.9%
11	Metz	10.9	0.2%	11.8%
12	Dunkerque	11.5	0.1%	15.2%
13	Dijon	11.6	0%	14.6%
14	Boulogne	13.4	0%	30.3%
15	Laval	14.6	0%	46.6%
16	Nantes	14.7	0%	47.4%
17	Grenoble	14.7	0%	49.2%
18	Clermont Foot	15.6	0%	61.1%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Ligue 2 predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Ligue 2 is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Ligue 2 fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Ligue 2 betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Ligue 2 match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit