Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Lithuania 1 Lyga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
No upcoming audited matches in this league right now. The audit runs continuously — check back soon.
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Žalgiris II | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 | Minija | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | +15 | 15 |
| 3 | BFA | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Babrungas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 | Be1 NFA | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 7 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 12 |
| 8 | Hegelmann II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | +0 | 9 |
| 9 | Dainava | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | FA Šiauliai II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Ekranas | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
| 12 | Transinvest 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Tauras | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Atmosfera | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Jonava | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Garliava | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 |
| # | Team | Avg. finish | P(title) | P(relegation) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Žalgiris II | 2.7 | 33.4% | 0% |
| 2 | BFA | 2.8 | 27.7% | 0% |
| 3 | Minija | 3.1 | 22.3% | 0% |
| 4 | Babrungas | 4.1 | 8.1% | 0% |
| 5 | Be1 NFA | 5.4 | 3.4% | 0% |
| 6 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 5.5 | 2.9% | 0% |
| 7 | Tauras | 5.5 | 2.2% | 0% |
| 8 | Dainava | 9 | 0% | 1.2% |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 10 | 0% | 3.3% |
| 10 | Jonava | 10.5 | 0% | 3.7% |
| 11 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 11.1 | 0% | 8% |
| 12 | Hegelmann II | 12 | 0% | 13.6% |
| 13 | FA Šiauliai II | 12.5 | 0% | 20.1% |
| 14 | Ekranas | 12.8 | 0% | 25.3% |
| 15 | Transinvest 2 | 13.8 | 0% | 46.2% |
| 16 | Garliava | 15.1 | 0% | 78.5% |
How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.
The sharpest public forecast for Lithuania 1 Lyga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Lithuania 1 Lyga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Lithuania 1 Lyga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.