Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Lithuania A Lyga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
No upcoming audited matches in this league right now. The audit runs continuously — check back soon.
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 39 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | +21 | 72 |
| 2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 70 | 32 | +38 | 69 |
| 3 | Suduva Marijampole | 37 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 51 | 34 | +17 | 60 |
| 4 | Banga | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 28 | +25 | 56 |
| 5 | Džiugas Telšiai | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 54 |
| 6 | Hegelmann Litauen | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 50 |
| 7 | Panevėžys | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 43 |
| 8 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | +10 | 38 |
| 9 | Šiauliai | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 44 | 67 | -23 | 34 |
| 10 | FK Trakai | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 70 | -50 | 19 |
| 11 | Dainava | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 8 |
| # | Team | Avg. finish | P(title) | P(relegation) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2.4 | 42.7% | 0.3% |
| 2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2.9 | 27.3% | 0.5% |
| 3 | Suduva Marijampole | 3.7 | 14.5% | 1.9% |
| 4 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 4.5 | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| 5 | Banga | 5.4 | 3.9% | 7.7% |
| 6 | Hegelmann Litauen | 5.4 | 3.7% | 7.1% |
| 7 | Džiugas Telšiai | 5.7 | 2% | 8.9% |
| 8 | Panevėžys | 7.7 | 0.3% | 37.4% |
| 9 | Šiauliai | 8.1 | 0.2% | 51.6% |
| 10 | FK Trakai | 9.2 | 0% | 81.3% |
How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.
The sharpest public forecast for Lithuania A Lyga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Lithuania A Lyga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Lithuania A Lyga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.