Fair, margin-free probabilities for every MLS Next Pro fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
No upcoming audited matches in this league right now. The audit runs continuously — check back soon.
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin II | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 17 | +24 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo FC II | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 16 | +24 | 39 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 23 | +3 | 38 |
| 4 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 27 | +20 | 36 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew II | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 31 | +5 | 35 |
| 6 | Atlanta United II | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 30 | +11 | 33 |
| 7 | Chattanooga | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 30 | +9 | 33 |
| 8 | New England II | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | +6 | 33 |
| 9 | Ventura County | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 27 | +10 | 32 |
| 10 | New York RB II | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 31 |
| 11 | Orlando City II | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 34 | +6 | 31 |
| 12 | Connecticut FC | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 33 | +2 | 29 |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC II | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 28 |
| 14 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | The Town | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 27 |
| 16 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 28 | +6 | 27 |
| 17 | New York City II | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 29 | +0 | 27 |
| 18 | St. Louis City II | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Minnesota United II | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 27 |
| 20 | Huntsville City | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 26 |
| 21 | North Texas | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 23 | +6 | 24 |
| 22 | Philadelphia Union II | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 24 |
| 23 | Toronto II | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 24 |
| 24 | Real Monarchs | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 22 |
| 25 | Carolina Core | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 19 |
| 26 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 16 |
| 27 | Sporting KC II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 15 |
| 28 | FC Cincinnati II | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
| 29 | Colorado Rapids II | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 11 |
| 30 | Inter Miami II | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 46 | -30 | 7 |
| # | Team | Avg. finish | P(title) | P(relegation) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Dynamo FC II | 3.5 | 32.3% | 0% |
| 2 | Connecticut FC | 4.2 | 23.6% | 0% |
| 3 | Atlanta United II | 6.4 | 10.1% | 0% |
| 4 | Austin II | 7.3 | 6.9% | 0% |
| 5 | Portland Timbers II | 7.4 | 5.7% | 0% |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 7.8 | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| 7 | Chicago Fire II | 8.3 | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| 8 | Chattanooga | 9.2 | 3% | 0.1% |
| 9 | Crown Legacy | 9.4 | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| 10 | North Texas | 9.7 | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| 11 | New England II | 12.5 | 0.9% | 1.5% |
| 12 | The Town | 15.6 | 0.5% | 4.9% |
| 13 | Tacoma Defiance | 16 | 0.2% | 3.6% |
| 14 | Ventura County | 16 | 0.1% | 3.5% |
| 15 | Los Angeles FC II | 16.9 | 0.1% | 5.7% |
| 16 | Orlando City II | 17.1 | 0% | 4.7% |
| 17 | New York City II | 17.4 | 0.1% | 7% |
| 18 | Philadelphia Union II | 17.8 | 0.1% | 6.7% |
| 19 | Columbus Crew II | 17.8 | 0.1% | 7.2% |
| 20 | Minnesota United II | 19 | 0% | 9.9% |
| 21 | Colorado Rapids II | 20.6 | 0% | 14.1% |
| 22 | Real Monarchs | 20.7 | 0% | 13.8% |
| 23 | New York RB II | 21.2 | 0% | 17.8% |
| 24 | Toronto II | 22.4 | 0% | 22.4% |
| 25 | St. Louis City II | 22.6 | 0% | 25.1% |
| 26 | Carolina Core | 22.6 | 0% | 22.6% |
| 27 | FC Cincinnati II | 23.4 | 0% | 29.4% |
| 28 | Sporting KC II | 23.8 | 0% | 31.1% |
| 29 | Inter Miami II | 24 | 0% | 34.7% |
| 30 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 24.3 | 0% | 33.5% |
How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.
The sharpest public forecast for MLS Next Pro is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every MLS Next Pro fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each MLS Next Pro match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.