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MLS Next Pro predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every MLS Next Pro fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

Sat · 21:00 UTC Chattanooga – Columbus Crew II
Sat · 21:00 UTC Ventura County – Los Angeles FC II

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
26 Oct	Portland Timbers II – Ventura County	0–1	27%
26 Oct	Austin II – Los Angeles FC II	0–1	19%
25 Oct	Crown Legacy – Columbus Crew II	1–2	24%
25 Oct	Chattanooga – Connecticut FC	3–1	46%
19 Oct	Austin II – The Town	2–1	51%
18 Oct	Crown Legacy – New York RB II	2–1	43%
18 Oct	Houston Dynamo FC II – Los Angeles FC II	2–2 (penalties)	—
18 Oct	Chattanooga – New York City II	3–1	57%
17 Oct	Columbus Crew II – New England II	2–1	43%
17 Oct	Ventura County – Minnesota United II	3–2 (after extra time)	—

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Standings — 2026 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Tue, 27 Oct · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
Central Division
1	Crown Legacy	28	20	0	8	67	39	+28	58
2	Chattanooga	28	19	0	9	56	39	+17	56
3	Atlanta United II	28	15	0	13	62	46	+16	48
4	Huntsville City	28	14	0	14	49	47	+2	44
5	Orlando City II	28	15	0	13	55	56	-1	44
6	Chicago Fire II	28	13	0	15	50	48	+2	39
7	Carolina Core	28	10	0	18	40	53	-13	31
8	Inter Miami II	28	4	0	24	30	74	-44	15
Eastern Conference
1	Crown Legacy	28	20	0	8	67	39	+28	58
1	Austin II	28	21	0	7	54	21	+33	65
2	Chattanooga	28	19	0	9	56	39	+17	56
2	Portland Timbers II	28	19	0	9	37	29	+8	57
3	Atlanta United II	28	15	0	13	62	46	+16	48
3	Ventura County	28	18	0	10	58	36	+22	53
4	Columbus Crew II	28	17	0	11	49	43	+6	48
4	Houston Dynamo FC II	28	18	0	10	53	33	+20	52
5	New England II	28	16	0	12	47	42	+5	48
5	Minnesota United II	28	15	0	13	43	39	+4	45
6	New York City II	28	16	0	12	50	44	+6	47
6	Los Angeles FC II	28	14	0	14	50	48	+2	45
7	Connecticut FC	28	16	0	12	59	52	+7	46
7	St. Louis City II	28	14	0	14	42	40	+2	44
8	New York RB II	28	15	0	13	58	48	+10	46
8	The Town	28	14	0	14	51	36	+15	42
9	Huntsville City	28	14	0	14	49	47	+2	44
9	Tacoma Defiance	28	14	0	14	40	44	-4	41
10	Orlando City II	28	15	0	13	55	56	-1	44
10	North Texas	28	14	0	14	42	41	+1	40
11	Philadelphia Union II	28	14	0	14	37	40	-3	43
11	Real Monarchs	28	12	0	16	38	55	-17	33
12	Toronto II	28	13	0	15	48	56	-8	39
12	Vancouver Whitecaps II	28	10	0	18	39	62	-23	27
13	Chicago Fire II	28	13	0	15	50	48	+2	39
13	Sporting KC II	28	7	0	21	36	75	-39	23
14	Carolina Core	28	10	0	18	40	53	-13	31
14	Colorado Rapids II	28	6	0	22	28	52	-24	21
15	FC Cincinnati II	28	7	0	21	32	62	-30	20
16	Inter Miami II	28	4	0	24	30	74	-44	15
Frontier Division
1	Austin II	28	21	0	7	54	21	+33	65
2	Houston Dynamo FC II	28	18	0	10	53	33	+20	52
3	Minnesota United II	28	15	0	13	43	39	+4	45
4	St. Louis City II	28	14	0	14	42	40	+2	44
5	North Texas	28	14	0	14	42	41	+1	40
6	Sporting KC II	28	7	0	21	36	75	-39	23
7	Colorado Rapids II	28	6	0	22	28	52	-24	21
Northeast Division
1	Columbus Crew II	28	17	0	11	49	43	+6	48
2	New England II	28	16	0	12	47	42	+5	48
3	New York City II	28	16	0	12	50	44	+6	47
4	Connecticut FC	28	16	0	12	59	52	+7	46
5	New York RB II	28	15	0	13	58	48	+10	46
6	Philadelphia Union II	28	14	0	14	37	40	-3	43
7	Toronto II	28	13	0	15	48	56	-8	39
8	FC Cincinnati II	28	7	0	21	32	62	-30	20
Pacific Division
1	Portland Timbers II	28	19	0	9	37	29	+8	57
2	Ventura County	28	18	0	10	58	36	+22	53
3	Los Angeles FC II	28	14	0	14	50	48	+2	45
4	The Town	28	14	0	14	51	36	+15	42
5	Tacoma Defiance	28	14	0	14	40	44	-4	41
6	Real Monarchs	28	12	0	16	38	55	-17	33
7	Vancouver Whitecaps II	28	10	0	18	39	62	-23	27

Team stats this season

434 matches this season: 3.32 goals per game, 66% over 2.5, 64% both teams scored.

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets
New York RB II	30	2.07	1.70	87%	80%	10%
Chicago Fire II	28	1.79	1.71	82%	64%	18%
Sporting KC II	28	1.29	2.68	82%	68%	4%
Connecticut FC	30	2.03	1.83	80%	77%	13%
Orlando City II	28	1.96	2.00	79%	82%	4%
Toronto II	28	1.71	2.00	79%	68%	18%
Crown Legacy	30	2.33	1.40	77%	63%	27%
Real Monarchs	28	1.36	1.96	75%	54%	14%
New England II	29	1.66	1.52	72%	72%	24%
FC Cincinnati II	28	1.14	2.21	71%	61%	11%
Los Angeles FC II	30	1.77	1.67	70%	73%	17%
Atlanta United II	29	2.14	1.62	69%	66%	14%
Huntsville City	29	1.72	1.72	69%	59%	31%
Vancouver Whitecaps II	28	1.39	2.21	68%	75%	7%
Columbus Crew II	30	1.77	1.50	67%	73%	17%
New York City II	29	1.76	1.62	66%	62%	24%
Tacoma Defiance	29	1.48	1.62	66%	52%	21%
Carolina Core	28	1.43	1.89	64%	71%	21%
Inter Miami II	28	1.07	2.64	64%	64%	4%
Chattanooga	30	2.07	1.37	63%	67%	27%
Ventura County	30	2.03	1.27	63%	67%	30%
Houston Dynamo FC II	29	1.90	1.21	62%	59%	31%
The Town	30	1.83	1.37	60%	63%	17%
St. Louis City II	29	1.45	1.45	55%	59%	28%
North Texas	28	1.50	1.46	54%	57%	18%
Philadelphia Union II	28	1.32	1.43	54%	57%	18%
Colorado Rapids II	28	1.00	1.86	54%	61%	11%
Minnesota United II	29	1.55	1.41	52%	55%	24%
Portland Timbers II	30	1.30	1.00	47%	40%	50%
Austin II	30	1.87	0.77	43%	47%	50%

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Connecticut FC	1.1	92.2%	0%
2	Crown Legacy	4.9	2.1%	0%
3	Portland Timbers II	5.3	1.9%	0%
4	Houston Dynamo FC II	6.1	1%	0%
5	Atlanta United II	6.5	1.3%	0%
6	Chicago Fire II	7.3	0.6%	0%
7	Austin II	7.6	0.2%	0%
8	Chattanooga	7.6	0.4%	0%
9	Huntsville City	9.1	0.1%	0%
10	Los Angeles FC II	9.6	0.1%	0%
11	Ventura County	12.1	0.1%	0%
12	North Texas	12.1	0%	0%
13	New York City II	12.6	0%	0%
14	Tacoma Defiance	12.8	0%	0%
15	New England II	14.7	0%	0%
16	Philadelphia Union II	15	0%	0%
17	New York RB II	15.6	0%	0.1%
18	St. Louis City II	18.4	0%	0.7%
19	The Town	20.5	0%	6.3%
20	Columbus Crew II	21.2	0%	5.8%
21	Carolina Core	21.5	0%	4.9%
22	Toronto II	22.3	0%	10%
23	Sporting KC II	22.7	0%	14.8%
24	Minnesota United II	23.9	0%	21%
25	Orlando City II	24.5	0%	25.7%
26	Inter Miami II	25.4	0%	34%
27	Colorado Rapids II	25.5	0%	35.5%
28	Vancouver Whitecaps II	26.2	0%	44.6%
29	FC Cincinnati II	26.3	0%	44.5%
30	Real Monarchs	26.8	0%	52.2%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best MLS Next Pro predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for MLS Next Pro is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every MLS Next Pro fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer MLS Next Pro betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each MLS Next Pro match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit