Norway

Norway 1. Division predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Norway 1. Division fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

Sat · 13:00 UTC Bjarg – Kjelsås
Sun · 12:00 UTC Stabaek – Stromsgodset
Sun · 12:00 UTC Haugesund – ODD Ballklubb
Sun · 12:00 UTC Sogndal – hodd
Sun · 12:00 UTC Bryne – Kongsvinger
Sun · 12:00 UTC Sandnes ULF – Asane
Sun · 12:00 UTC Strommen – Lyn
Sun · 12:00 UTC Raufoss – Egersund
Sun · 12:00 UTC Moss – Ranheim
Sat · 13:00 UTC Kjelsås – Bjarg

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
02 Nov	Kongsvinger – Stabaek	1–2	33%
01 Nov	Lyn – Raufoss	4–0	75%
01 Nov	Egersund – Strommen	3–1	54%
01 Nov	hodd – Bryne	0–3	51%
01 Nov	Asane – Haugesund	1–3	73%
01 Nov	ODD Ballklubb – Sandnes ULF	3–3	18%
01 Nov	Stromsgodset – Moss	3–0	81%
01 Nov	Ranheim – Sogndal	2–1	49%
25 Oct	Moss – Asane	1–3	18%
25 Oct	Bryne – Egersund	3–3	24%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Norway 1. Division

Across the matches we priced in Norway 1. Division, the market's average 1X2 margin is 8.88%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 5.11%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Mon, 02 Nov · 20:58 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Haugesund	29	21	2	6	84	48	+36	65
2	Stromsgodset	29	19	6	4	79	34	+45	63
3	Kongsvinger	29	18	5	6	83	47	+36	59
4	Stabaek	29	18	4	7	68	35	+33	58
5	ODD Ballklubb	29	13	7	9	57	46	+11	46
6	Bryne	29	13	4	12	43	41	+2	43
7	Ranheim	29	12	5	12	73	69	+4	41
8	Egersund	29	10	8	11	48	57	-9	38
9	hodd	29	11	5	13	49	59	-10	38
10	Strommen	29	10	6	13	50	62	-12	36
11	Lyn	29	10	4	15	46	59	-13	34
12	Sogndal	29	8	6	15	48	63	-15	30
13	Sandnes ULF	29	8	6	15	42	58	-16	30
14	Moss	29	8	5	16	41	62	-21	29
15	Asane	29	7	5	17	41	65	-24	26
16	Raufoss	29	6	2	21	31	78	-47	20

Team stats this season

231 matches this season: 3.81 goals per game, 72% over 2.5, 65% both teams scored.

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets
Ranheim	29	2.52	2.38	90%	86%	7%
Moss	29	1.41	2.14	83%	76%	7%
Kongsvinger	28	2.93	1.61	82%	79%	18%
Haugesund	29	2.90	1.66	76%	69%	28%
Sogndal	29	1.66	2.17	76%	69%	7%
Asane	29	1.41	2.24	76%	62%	10%
Raufoss	29	1.07	2.69	76%	66%	7%
ODD Ballklubb	29	1.97	1.59	72%	69%	24%
Strommen	29	1.72	2.14	72%	66%	14%
hodd	29	1.69	2.03	72%	72%	7%
Egersund	29	1.66	1.97	72%	55%	28%
Lyn	29	1.59	2.03	69%	52%	24%
Stabaek	28	2.36	1.21	68%	54%	36%
Stromsgodset	29	2.72	1.17	66%	59%	35%
Sandnes ULF	29	1.45	2.00	55%	59%	17%
Bryne	29	1.48	1.41	52%	41%	31%

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Kongsvinger	2.2	38.4%	0%
2	Haugesund	2.2	39.7%	0%
3	Stabaek	3.9	8.5%	0%
4	Stromsgodset	4.3	7.2%	0%
5	Bryne	4.8	4.3%	0%
6	Lyn	5.8	1.4%	0%
7	hodd	6.8	0.5%	0%
8	Strommen	8.6	0%	0.6%
9	Egersund	8.7	0%	0.6%
10	ODD Ballklubb	9.9	0%	1.9%
11	Ranheim	12.5	0%	22%
12	Moss	12.6	0%	21.8%
13	Raufoss	12.6	0%	21.7%
14	Sogndal	12.9	0%	28.1%
15	Asane	13.3	0%	34.7%
16	Sandnes ULF	14.8	0%	68.5%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Norway 1. Division predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Norway 1. Division is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Norway 1. Division fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Norway 1. Division betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Norway 1. Division match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit