Country · Argentina

Primera B Metropolitana predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Primera B Metropolitana fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

benchmark Pinnacle · Edge Score flags real value
Primera B Metropolitana
Arsenal Sarandi — UAI Urquiza
Market probability (margin removed)
1
70%
X
21%
2
9%
1 Home win 70%
Micro-edge · monitor only 1 Arsenal Sarandi +1%
Fair price 1.41
Betano 1.42
Edge shrinking ·
Primera B Metropolitana
Brown DE Adrogue — San Martín Burzaco
Market probability (margin removed)
1
43%
X
33%
2
24%
1/X Home or draw 76%
Fair odds 1.31
expired we flagged +3.6% on X — the market has since corrected it
Primera B Metropolitana
Deportivo Laferrere — Villa San Carlos
Market probability (margin removed)
1
42%
X
32%
2
26%
1/X Home or draw 74%
Fair odds 1.34
expired we flagged +1% on X — the market has since corrected it
Primera B Metropolitana
Talleres Remedios — Liniers
Market probability (margin removed)
1
63%
X
25%
2
12%
1 Home win 63%
Fair odds 1.59
expired we flagged +5.2% on 1 — the market has since corrected it
Primera B Metropolitana
Defensores Unidos — Dock Sud
Market probability (margin removed)
1
40%
X
31%
2
29%
1/X Home or draw 71%
Fair odds 1.41
No value Edge Score 0 · the market is right
Primera B Metropolitana
Deportivo Armenio — Sportivo Italiano
Market probability (margin removed)
1
36%
X
34%
2
30%
1/X Home or draw 70%
Fair odds 1.43
expired we flagged +0.7% on X — the market has since corrected it
Primera B Metropolitana
Argentino de Merlo — Real Pilar
Market probability (margin removed)
1
29%
X
30%
2
42%
X/2 Draw or away 71%
Fair odds 1.40
No value Edge Score 0 · the market is right
Primera B Metropolitana
Excursionistas — Villa Dalmine
Market probability (margin removed)
1
47%
X
32%
2
21%
1/X Home or draw 79%
Strong value 1 Excursionistas +4.9%
Fair price 2.12
1xBet 2.22
Live price ·
Primera B Metropolitana
Ituzaingó — Comunicaciones
Market probability (margin removed)
1
15%
X
27%
2
58%
2 Away win 58%
Fair odds 1.73
expired we flagged +5.5% on 2 — the market has since corrected it

Standings — computed from our own settled results · 2026 season

Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 34 19 8 7 51 28 +23 65
2 Arsenal Sarandi 34 17 12 5 45 22 +23 63
3 Deportivo Camioneros 34 17 12 5 40 20 +20 63
4 Talleres Remedios 34 18 9 7 37 17 +20 63
5 Villa Dalmine 34 16 12 6 35 17 +18 60
6 Sportivo Italiano 34 16 10 8 41 26 +15 58
7 Real Pilar 35 15 10 10 38 34 +4 55
8 Comunicaciones 35 13 11 11 36 33 +3 50
9 Deportivo Armenio 34 13 9 12 35 37 -2 48
10 Deportivo Laferrere 34 12 11 11 41 44 -3 47
11 Dock Sud 34 10 13 11 38 35 +3 43
12 San Martín Burzaco 34 9 14 11 31 36 -5 41
13 Argentino de Merlo 35 10 11 14 30 35 -5 41
14 Deportivo Merlo 34 9 13 12 34 48 -14 40
15 Villa San Carlos 34 9 12 13 34 38 -4 39
16 Argentino Quilmes 34 8 13 13 28 36 -8 37
17 Liniers 34 8 13 13 27 35 -8 37
18 Flandria 34 9 8 17 29 42 -13 35
19 Defensores Unidos 34 7 13 14 28 36 -8 34
20 Brown DE Adrogue 34 7 13 14 21 35 -14 34
21 UAI Urquiza 34 4 19 11 17 29 -12 31
22 Ituzaingó 35 1 12 22 22 55 -33 15

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

# Team Avg. finish P(title) P(relegation)
1 Deportivo Camioneros 2.1 52.8% 0%
2 Sportivo Italiano 3.9 16.6% 0%
3 Arsenal Sarandi 4.6 11.3% 0%
4 Talleres Remedios 5.6 6.8% 0%
5 Villa Dalmine 6.6 3.2% 0%
6 Real Pilar 7.4 2% 0%
7 Excursionistas 7.6 2.5% 0%
8 Villa San Carlos 8.2 1.3% 0%
9 Deportivo Laferrere 8.2 1.2% 0%
10 Comunicaciones 8.6 0.9% 0%
11 Dock Sud 8.7 0.9% 0%
12 Deportivo Armenio 9.7 0.5% 0.2%
13 Flandria 14.9 0% 7.7%
14 Brown DE Adrogue 15.8 0% 13.3%
15 Argentino de Merlo 16.2 0% 16.9%
16 Liniers 16.3 0% 16.2%
17 Defensores Unidos 16.3 0% 18.6%
18 Argentino Quilmes 16.6 0% 20.2%
19 San Martín Burzaco 17.1 0% 23.7%
20 Deportivo Merlo 18.5 0% 43.6%
21 UAI Urquiza 19.2 0% 55.9%
22 Ituzaingó 20.9 0% 83.6%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Primera B Metropolitana predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Primera B Metropolitana is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Primera B Metropolitana fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Primera B Metropolitana betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Primera B Metropolitana match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

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