Argentina

Primera C predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Primera C fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No upcoming audited matches in this league right now. The audit runs continuously — check back soon.

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
26 Oct	Sacachispas – Sportivo Barracas	1–1 (penalties)	—
26 Oct	Leones de Rosario – Mercedes	1–0 (penalties)	—
26 Oct	Centro Español – Central Cordoba	2–1 (penalties)	—
25 Oct	Defensores Glew – Argentino Rosario	1–1	—
25 Oct	Lujan – Berazategui	3–0	—
25 Oct	Estrella Del Sur – General Lamadrid	1–0	44%
25 Oct	Deportivo Español – Victoriano Arenas	0–0	31%
25 Oct	Canuelas – Lugano	1–0	59%
19 Oct	Sportivo Barracas – Sacachispas	0–0	29%
19 Oct	Lugano – Canuelas	0–1	38%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Primera C

Across the matches we priced in Primera C, the market's average 1X2 margin is 12.03%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Dafabet at 7.09%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Dafabet → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Tue, 27 Oct · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
Group A
1	Berazategui	32	13	12	7	40	24	+16	51
2	Sacachispas	32	14	8	10	33	26	+7	50
3	Estrella Del Sur	32	12	12	8	33	30	+3	48
4	Centro Español	32	12	11	9	43	30	+13	47
5	Mercedes	32	12	11	9	31	24	+7	47
6	Victoriano Arenas	32	11	14	7	26	19	+7	47
7	Lugano	32	11	13	8	35	29	+6	46
8	Juventud Unida	32	12	9	11	39	33	+6	45
9	Puerto Nuevo	32	10	11	11	30	36	-6	41
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	32	9	9	14	25	34	-9	36
11	JJ Urquiza	32	7	14	11	21	26	-5	35
12	Deportivo Paraguayo	32	7	11	14	23	41	-18	32
13	Leandro N. Alem	32	8	7	17	30	58	-28	31
14	Argentino Rosario	32	4	15	13	30	42	-12	27
Group B
1	Lujan	32	19	7	6	46	22	+24	64
2	Canuelas	32	17	10	5	43	22	+21	61
3	Deportivo Español	32	12	16	4	26	16	+10	52
4	Leones de Rosario	32	13	12	7	31	25	+6	51
5	Central Cordoba	32	13	10	9	32	23	+9	49
6	General Lamadrid	32	9	14	9	23	27	-4	41
7	Sportivo Barracas	32	11	7	14	32	32	+0	40
8	El Porvenir	32	8	16	8	28	32	-4	40
9	Central Ballester	32	10	8	14	29	34	-5	38
10	Atletico Atlas	32	9	10	13	24	29	-5	37
11	Claypole	32	9	9	14	27	40	-13	36
12	Yupanqui	32	8	11	13	33	36	-3	35
13	Fénix	32	8	10	14	24	32	-8	34
14	Deportivo Muñiz	32	6	11	15	23	38	-15	29

Team stats this season

464 matches this season: 1.90 goals per game, 28% over 2.5, 36% both teams scored.

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets
Leandro N. Alem	32	0.94	1.81	47%	44%	16%
Claypole	32	0.84	1.25	41%	41%	34%
Lugano	34	1.03	0.91	38%	38%	47%
Juventud Unida	32	1.22	1.03	38%	47%	31%
Lujan	34	1.44	0.65	35%	35%	53%
Yupanqui	32	1.03	1.13	34%	44%	28%
Central Ballester	32	0.91	1.06	34%	22%	53%
Centro Español	34	1.32	0.94	32%	44%	35%
Central Cordoba	34	1.00	0.74	32%	35%	41%
Argentino Rosario	34	0.91	1.26	32%	62%	15%
Puerto Nuevo	32	0.94	1.13	31%	41%	38%
El Porvenir	32	0.88	1.00	31%	44%	38%
Defensores de Cambaceres	32	0.78	1.06	31%	25%	41%
Deportivo Paraguayo	32	0.72	1.28	31%	34%	31%
Deportivo Muñiz	33	0.70	1.15	30%	39%	30%
Berazategui	34	1.18	0.79	29%	35%	47%
Canuelas	34	1.32	0.65	27%	41%	50%
Estrella Del Sur	34	1.03	0.91	27%	41%	38%
Sportivo Barracas	34	0.97	0.97	27%	29%	47%
Fénix	32	0.75	1.00	25%	38%	31%
Sacachispas	34	1.00	0.79	24%	24%	50%
Leones de Rosario	34	0.97	0.79	24%	38%	47%
JJ Urquiza	32	0.66	0.81	19%	25%	47%
Mercedes	34	0.97	0.76	18%	29%	47%
General Lamadrid	34	0.71	0.85	18%	29%	50%
Atletico Atlas	32	0.75	0.91	13%	31%	34%
Victoriano Arenas	34	0.76	0.59	12%	27%	53%
Deportivo Español	34	0.79	0.47	9%	29%	65%

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Lujan	2.6	32.4%	0%
2	Central Cordoba	2.6	31.9%	0%
3	Canuelas	2.9	24.3%	0%
4	Central Ballester	5.4	4.9%	0%
5	Lugano	5.9	3.4%	0%
6	Sacachispas	7.1	2%	0%
7	Deportivo Español	7.7	0.9%	0%
8	Atletico Atlas	10.1	0.2%	0%
9	Juventud Unida	11.3	0%	0%
10	Berazategui	11.9	0%	0%
11	Leones de Rosario	12	0%	0%
12	Estrella Del Sur	13.2	0%	0%
13	Mercedes	13.8	0%	0.1%
14	Defensores de Cambaceres	14.3	0%	0%
15	Puerto Nuevo	15.2	0%	0.1%
16	JJ Urquiza	15.4	0%	0.5%
17	Centro Español	16.2	0%	1.5%
18	Fénix	17.2	0%	1.7%
19	El Porvenir	17.6	0%	1.3%
20	Sportivo Barracas	18.4	0%	1.5%
21	General Lamadrid	19.8	0%	5.6%
22	Deportivo Paraguayo	20	0%	5.7%
23	Victoriano Arenas	20.1	0%	5.3%
24	Yupanqui	23.9	0%	33.8%
25	Deportivo Muñiz	23.9	0%	37.3%
26	Argentino Rosario	25.1	0%	55.2%
27	Claypole	25.3	0%	58.4%
28	Leandro N. Alem	27.3	0%	92.1%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Primera C predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Primera C is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Primera C fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Primera C betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Primera C match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit