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Country · Saudi-Arabia

Saudi Pro League predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Saudi Pro League fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

benchmark Pinnacle · Edge Score flags real value
Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time Match 1X2 Value
Al-FayhaAl-Ahli Jeddah
 7.80 fair 7.98 5.27 fair 5.98 1.35 fair 1.41 Value expired
AbhaAl Kholood
 — fair 3.03 — fair 3.69 — fair 2.51 No value
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hazm
 1.05 fair 1.06 15.50 fair 30.21 31.00 fair 43.45 Value expired
Al ShababAl-Faisaly FC
 1.58 fair 1.66 4.30 fair 4.77 5.01 fair 5.36 No value
Al DiriyahAl Riyadh
 1.49 fair 1.52 4.50 fair 5.11 6.20 fair 6.79 No value
Al TaawonAl-Qadisiyah FC
 5.80 fair 6.36 4.70 fair 5.68 1.48 fair 1.50 No value
Al-EttifaqAl-Ittihad FC
 3.35 fair 3.35 3.95 fair 4.36 2.08 fair 2.12 Value expired
Al-NassrNEOM
 1.39 fair 1.43 5.00 fair 6.04 6.78 fair 7.30 No value

Bookmaker margins on Saudi Pro League

Across the matches we priced in Saudi Pro League, the market's average 1X2 margin is 10.21%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Coral at 5.56%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Coral → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, updated daily.

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Al-Qadisiyah FC 9 7 1 1 23 9 +14 22
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 8 7 0 1 26 7 +19 21
3 Al-Nassr 8 6 1 1 19 7 +12 19
4 Al-Ittihad FC 8 5 2 1 14 9 +5 17
5 NEOM 9 5 1 3 14 8 +6 16
6 Al-Ahli Jeddah 8 5 0 3 20 10 +10 15
7 Al-Ettifaq 9 4 3 2 13 12 +1 15
8 Al Diriyah 9 3 3 3 8 9 -1 12
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14 18 -4 12
10 Al Khaleej Saihat 10 2 6 2 9 13 -4 12
11 Al-Hazm 9 2 3 4 10 13 -3 9
12 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9 17 -8 9
13 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9 11 -2 7
14 Al-Fayha 9 1 4 4 8 14 -6 7
15 Al-Faisaly FC 8 1 3 4 8 15 -7 6
16 Al-Fateh 10 1 3 6 9 20 -11 6
17 Al Taawon 9 0 4 5 4 16 -12 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6 15 -9 2

Team stats this season

78 matches this season: 2.86 goals per game, 55% over 2.5, 51% both teams scored. xG 2.84 per match (from 56 matches); 9.6 corners and 3.6 cards per match (from 77 matches with statistics).

TeamMPGFGA Over 2.5BTTSClean sheets xG for / against CornersCards
Al-Ahli Jeddah 82.501.25 88%38%50% 3.10 / 1.37 7.41.4
Al-Nassr 82.380.88 88%63%38% 1.80 / 0.75 12.31.5
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83.250.88 75%38%50% — 8.91.1
Al-Qadisiyah FC 92.561.00 67%56%33% 2.56 / 1.06 9.61.9
Al Kholood 91.562.00 67%78%0% — 9.22.2
Al-Ittihad FC 81.751.13 63%75%25% 1.81 / 1.51 10.62.5
Abha 80.751.88 63%63%13% 0.74 / 1.55 7.02.1
Al-Fateh 100.902.00 60%50%20% 1.23 / 1.74 12.02.1
Al-Fayha 90.891.56 56%56%22% 0.96 / 1.69 9.41.1
Al Riyadh 81.132.13 50%38%38% 0.82 / 1.89 10.62.3
Al Shabab 81.131.38 50%50%38% 1.69 / 1.13 11.52.0
Al-Faisaly FC 81.001.88 50%63%25% 0.88 / 1.61 6.81.8
Al-Ettifaq 91.441.33 44%44%44% 1.16 / 1.44 9.91.9
Al-Hazm 91.111.44 44%67%22% 1.13 / 2.10 9.02.3
Al Taawon 90.441.78 44%33%33% 1.22 / 1.45 10.21.4
NEOM 91.560.89 33%33%33% 1.18 / 0.82 8.01.2
Al Diriyah 90.891.00 33%33%33% 1.45 / 1.14 9.41.6
Al Khaleej Saihat 100.901.30 30%50%40% 0.95 / 1.05 10.21.7

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

# Team Avg. finish P(title) P(relegation)
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2 43.7% 0%
2 Al-Qadisiyah FC 2.4 30.5% 0%
3 Al-Nassr 2.9 17.8% 0%
4 Al-Ahli Jeddah 3.9 5.6% 0%
5 Al-Ittihad FC 4.7 2.4% 0%
6 Al-Ettifaq 7.2 0% 0.4%
7 NEOM 7.6 0% 0.5%
8 Al Diriyah 8.8 0% 2.2%
9 Al Kholood 10.7 0% 7.2%
10 Al Khaleej Saihat 11.7 0% 12.9%
11 Al-Hazm 12 0% 16.2%
12 Al Riyadh 12.6 0% 21.4%
13 Al Shabab 12.9 0% 24%
14 Al-Faisaly FC 12.9 0% 24.7%
15 Al-Fayha 14.2 0% 40.7%
16 Al Taawon 14.5 0% 44.1%
17 Al-Fateh 15 0% 52.4%
18 Abha 15 0% 53.2%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Saudi Pro League predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Saudi Pro League is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Saudi Pro League fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Saudi Pro League betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Saudi Pro League match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

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