Spain

Segunda Division predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Segunda Division fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated between 19:44 UTC and 20:20 UTC

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time	Match	1	X	2	Value
Fri · 19:30 UTC	CastellónEibar	59% 1.67 fair 1.69	22% 4.38 fair 4.60	19% 5.10 fair 5.27	No value
Sat · 13:00 UTC	BurgosCelta de Vigo II	56% 1.81 fair 1.79	25% 3.94 fair 4.04	19% 4.80 fair 5.14	Not re-checked
Sat · 17:30 UTC	CordobaAD Ceuta FC	64% 1.54 fair 1.57	19% 4.75 fair 5.25	17% 5.80 fair 5.82	No value
Sat · 17:30 UTC	LeganesAlbacete	47% 2.06 fair 2.12	27% 3.63 fair 3.70	26% 3.75 fair 3.88	No value
Sat · 20:00 UTC	Granada CFTenerife	51% 1.96 fair 1.97	26% 3.63 fair 3.78	23% 4.00 fair 4.39	Value expired
Sun · 15:15 UTC	GironaAlmeria	48% 2.20 fair 2.10	26% 3.77 fair 3.91	27% 3.44 fair 3.74	Not re-checked
Sun · 17:30 UTC	Sporting GijonValladolid	40% 2.34 fair 2.47	29% 3.40 fair 3.41	30% 3.25 fair 3.30	No value
Mon · 19:30 UTC	SabadellReal Sociedad II	59% 1.78 fair 1.71	24% 4.08 fair 4.20	18% 5.41 fair 5.67	Not re-checked

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
02 Nov	Mallorca – Cadiz	2–1	—
02 Nov	Valladolid – Leganes	4–3	52%
02 Nov	Oviedo – Las Palmas	2–3	19%
02 Nov	Tenerife – FC Andorra	2–2	32%
01 Nov	Burgos – Castellón	1–1	31%
01 Nov	AD Ceuta FC – Sporting Gijon	0–2	31%
01 Nov	Eldense – Granada CF	0–2	30%
31 Oct	Albacete – Sabadell	2–1	37%
31 Oct	Celta de Vigo II – Cordoba	2–2	23%
31 Oct	Eibar – Almeria	1–1	27%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Segunda Division

Across the matches we priced in Segunda Division, the market's average 1X2 margin is 9.26%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 3.64%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Mon, 02 Nov · 20:58 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Castellón	12	8	3	1	23	5	+18	27
2	Almeria	12	8	2	2	23	10	+13	26
3	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21	14	+7	23
4	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	20	14	+6	23
5	Sporting Gijon	12	7	1	4	13	13	+0	22
6	Girona	12	6	3	3	22	11	+11	21
7	Burgos	12	6	3	3	17	13	+4	21
8	Mallorca	11	5	4	2	13	6	+7	19
9	Oviedo	12	5	3	4	17	15	+2	18
10	Sabadell	12	4	5	3	12	11	+1	17
11	Las Palmas	12	5	2	5	17	21	-4	17
12	Cordoba	12	5	1	6	19	22	-3	16
13	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	-2	14
14	Eldense	12	4	2	6	13	17	-4	14
15	Celta de Vigo II	12	3	4	5	18	23	-5	13
16	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16	16	+0	12
17	Leganes	11	3	3	5	7	16	-9	12
18	Real Sociedad II	12	3	2	7	15	22	-7	11
19	Cadiz	11	2	4	5	14	14	+0	10
20	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	-5	10
21	Albacete	12	2	1	9	10	23	-13	7
22	AD Ceuta FC	12	1	2	9	10	27	-17	5

Top scorers — 2026/27 · updated 2 Nov 2026

#	Player	Team	Goals	Assists
1	A. Marin	Celta de Vigo II	7	1
1	Miguel de la Fuente	Almeria	7	1
1	Enric Gallego	Tenerife	7	0
4	Fuentes	Mallorca	6	1
5	V. Vanat	Girona	5	2

Top scorers, assists and cards →

Team stats this season

128 matches this season: 2.67 goals per game, 48% over 2.5, 51% both teams scored. xG 2.81 per match (from 102 matches); 9.3 corners and 5.5 cards per match (from 128 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	xG for / against	Corners	Cards
Cordoba	12	1.58	1.75	67%	67%	25%	1.67 / 1.47	9.5	3.5
Las Palmas	11	1.27	1.73	64%	55%	36%	0.94 / 1.33	9.7	3.1
Eibar	12	1.75	1.17	58%	58%	33%	1.38 / 1.39	9.8	2.2
Celta de Vigo II	12	1.50	1.92	58%	67%	17%	1.20 / 1.84	9.0	2.9
Real Sociedad II	12	1.25	1.83	58%	67%	8%	1.40 / 1.84	9.6	3.2
AD Ceuta FC	12	0.83	2.25	58%	67%	0%	1.53 / 2.27	9.2	2.8
Albacete	12	0.83	1.92	58%	58%	8%	1.10 / 1.70	10.0	2.3
Valladolid	11	1.45	1.45	55%	55%	18%	1.24 / 1.41	8.5	3.6
Oviedo	11	1.36	1.09	55%	46%	46%	1.69 / 1.42	10.8	3.3
FC Andorra	11	1.36	1.82	55%	55%	18%	2.07 / 1.38	9.6	3.0
Almeria	12	1.92	0.83	50%	42%	42%	1.43 / 1.31	9.8	2.1
Granada CF	12	1.67	1.17	50%	50%	42%	1.52 / 1.12	8.3	1.8
Burgos	12	1.42	1.08	50%	58%	25%	1.37 / 1.44	9.1	2.5
Eldense	12	1.08	1.42	50%	42%	17%	1.50 / 1.39	10.9	2.3
Cadiz	11	1.27	1.27	46%	55%	18%	1.28 / 1.27	9.6	3.3
Castellón	12	1.92	0.42	42%	33%	58%	2.00 / 0.98	8.5	2.0
Girona	12	1.75	0.92	33%	50%	33%	1.40 / 1.43	7.8	2.7
Sporting Gijon	12	1.08	1.08	33%	25%	42%	1.13 / 1.05	8.7	2.8
Sabadell	12	1.00	0.92	33%	50%	33%	1.33 / 0.91	8.9	3.0
Tenerife	11	1.18	1.36	27%	64%	18%	0.93 / 1.17	7.7	2.5
Leganes	11	0.64	1.45	27%	27%	27%	1.10 / 1.63	9.2	2.9
Mallorca	11	1.18	0.55	18%	27%	55%	1.56 / 1.35	9.3	3.2

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Segunda Division predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Segunda Division is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Segunda Division fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Segunda Division betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Segunda Division match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit