Slovakia

Slovak Super Liga predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Slovak Super Liga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

Wed · 17:00 UTC AS Trencin – Slovan Bratislava
Wed · 17:00 UTC FK Košice – Dunajska Streda
Sat · 14:30 UTC AS Trencin – FK Košice
Sat · 14:30 UTC Spartak Trnava – Komárno
Sat · 14:30 UTC Žilina – Zemplín Michalovce
Sat · 17:00 UTC Podbrezová – Slovan Bratislava
Sun · 14:30 UTC Ružomberok – Skalica
Sun · 17:00 UTC Dukla Banská Bystrica – Dunajska Streda
Sat · 14:30 UTC Slovan Bratislava – AS Trencin
Sat · 14:30 UTC Dukla Banská Bystrica – Spartak Trnava

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
25 Oct	FK Košice – Žilina	2–2	24%
25 Oct	Komárno – AS Trencin	0–0	24%
24 Oct	Dunajska Streda – Ružomberok	5–0	74%
24 Oct	Skalica – Spartak Trnava	1–1	26%
24 Oct	Zemplín Michalovce – Podbrezová	1–4	41%
24 Oct	Slovan Bratislava – Dukla Banská Bystrica	2–2	15%
18 Oct	Žilina – Dunajska Streda	2–3	46%
18 Oct	Dukla Banská Bystrica – Podbrezová	1–0	28%
18 Oct	Zemplín Michalovce – FK Košice	1–1	24%
17 Oct	Spartak Trnava – Slovan Bratislava	0–3	43%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Slovak Super Liga

Across the matches we priced in Slovak Super Liga, the market's average 1X2 margin is 9.03%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 5.67%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Tue, 27 Oct · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Dunajska Streda	11	9	2	0	36	7	+29	29
2	Spartak Trnava	12	6	4	2	25	15	+10	22
3	Žilina	12	6	4	2	29	24	+5	22
4	Slovan Bratislava	11	6	3	2	26	12	+14	21
5	Podbrezová	12	5	2	5	18	21	-3	17
6	FK Košice	11	3	6	2	25	22	+3	15
7	Zemplín Michalovce	12	4	2	6	11	19	-8	14
8	Dukla Banská Bystrica	12	4	2	6	13	23	-10	14
9	Skalica	12	2	4	6	13	23	-10	10
10	AS Trencin	11	2	3	6	12	21	-9	9
11	Ružomberok	12	2	3	7	11	25	-14	9
12	Komárno	12	0	7	5	9	16	-7	7

Team stats this season

70 matches this season: 3.26 goals per game, 63% over 2.5, 60% both teams scored.

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets
Žilina	12	2.42	2.00	92%	92%	8%
Slovan Bratislava	11	2.36	1.09	82%	55%	36%
Dunajska Streda	11	3.27	0.64	73%	46%	55%
FK Košice	11	2.27	2.00	73%	82%	18%
Spartak Trnava	12	2.08	1.25	67%	67%	25%
Podbrezová	12	1.50	1.75	67%	58%	17%
AS Trencin	11	1.09	1.91	64%	64%	18%
Dukla Banská Bystrica	12	1.08	1.92	58%	33%	25%
Ružomberok	12	0.92	2.08	58%	50%	17%
Skalica	12	1.08	1.92	42%	67%	8%
Zemplín Michalovce	12	0.92	1.58	42%	42%	17%
Komárno	12	0.75	1.33	42%	67%	17%

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Dunajska Streda	1.1	88.3%	0%
2	Slovan Bratislava	2.6	7.7%	0%
3	Spartak Trnava	3.4	2.2%	0%
4	Žilina	3.6	1.8%	0%
5	Podbrezová	6.1	0%	0.6%
6	FK Košice	6.3	0%	1.2%
7	Dukla Banská Bystrica	6.5	0%	1.6%
8	Zemplín Michalovce	7.8	0%	7.1%
9	AS Trencin	9.6	0%	32.9%
10	Skalica	9.8	0%	37.5%
11	Ružomberok	10.1	0%	45.4%
12	Komárno	11	0%	73.6%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Slovak Super Liga predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Slovak Super Liga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Slovak Super Liga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Slovak Super Liga betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Slovak Super Liga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit