Turkey

Süper Lig predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Süper Lig fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated at 16:44 UTC · prices older than 6 hours may have moved: re-check at your bookmaker

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time	Match	1	X	2	Value
Fri · 17:00 UTC	Gaziantep FKKasımpaşa	38% 2.75 fair 2.67	28% 3.50 fair 3.56	34% 2.80 fair 2.91	Not re-checked
Sat · 10:30 UTC	EyüpsporKocaelispor	25% 3.90 fair 4.05	29% 3.46 fair 3.50	47% 2.09 fair 2.14	No value
Sat · 13:00 UTC	SamsunsporKonyaspor	42% 2.45 fair 2.37	28% 3.51 fair 3.55	30% 3.20 fair 3.38	Not re-checked
Sat · 16:00 UTC	GalatasarayAmed	68% 1.48 fair 1.46	18% 5.20 fair 5.64	14% 6.73 fair 7.16	Not re-checked
Sat · 16:00 UTC	GöztepeBaşakşehir	47% 2.09 fair 2.11	25% 3.80 fair 3.99	28% 3.55 fair 3.63	No value
Sun · 10:30 UTC	RizesporErzurumspor FK	50% 2.01 fair 2.01	26% 3.75 fair 3.90	24% 3.90 fair 4.09	Value expired
Sun · 13:00 UTC	Çorum FKFenerbahçe	22% 4.50 fair 4.51	24% 4.11 fair 4.24	54% 1.81 fair 1.84	No value

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
02 Nov	Gençlerbirliği S.K. – Alanyaspor	5–0	35%
01 Nov	Kasımpaşa – Beşiktaş	2–2	20%
01 Nov	Trabzonspor – Gaziantep FK	2–0	79%
01 Nov	Başakşehir – Samsunspor	5–2	54%
01 Nov	Amed – Eyüpspor	5–1	78%
31 Oct	Fenerbahçe – Göztepe	1–2	16%
31 Oct	Kocaelispor – Rizespor	0–0	29%
31 Oct	Erzurumspor FK – Çorum FK	1–3	36%
30 Oct	Konyaspor – Galatasaray	0–4	63%
26 Oct	Galatasaray – Fenerbahçe	2–1	47%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Süper Lig

Across the matches we priced in Süper Lig, the market's average 1X2 margin is 7.82%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is 1xBet at 3.39%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

1xBet → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Mon, 02 Nov · 19:58 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	10	8	1	1	23	12	+11	25
2	Amed	10	7	2	1	25	11	+14	23
3	Trabzonspor	10	7	1	2	24	8	+16	22
4	Beşiktaş	10	6	1	3	20	12	+8	19
5	Kasımpaşa	10	4	5	1	15	11	+4	17
6	Fenerbahçe	10	5	1	4	24	10	+14	16
7	Çorum FK	10	5	1	4	21	16	+5	16
8	Kocaelispor	10	5	1	4	11	9	+2	16
9	Göztepe	10	4	3	3	21	17	+4	15
10	Başakşehir	10	4	2	4	17	16	+1	14
11	Erzurumspor FK	10	4	2	4	9	15	-6	14
12	Alanyaspor	10	3	3	4	9	16	-7	12
13	Rizespor	10	3	2	5	11	15	-4	11
14	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	10	3	2	5	12	18	-6	11
15	Konyaspor	10	2	2	6	6	13	-7	8
16	Gaziantep FK	10	2	2	6	9	17	-8	8
17	Samsunspor	10	1	1	8	10	26	-16	4
18	Eyüpspor	10	1	0	9	3	28	-25	3

Top scorers — 2026/27 · updated 2 Nov 2026

#	Player	Team	Goals	Assists
1	V. Osimhen	Galatasaray	9	3
2	G. Orban	Amed	8	3
2	Mohamed Salah	Trabzonspor	8	3
4	V. Muriqi	Fenerbahçe	7	1
4	E. Shomurodov	Başakşehir	7	1

Top scorers, assists and cards →

Team stats this season

89 matches this season: 2.98 goals per game, 60% over 2.5, 47% both teams scored. xG 2.88 per match (from 89 matches); 9.6 corners and 4.1 cards per match (from 89 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	xG for / against	Corners	Cards
Amed	10	2.50	1.10	80%	60%	30%	2.16 / 0.86	9.0	3.3
Fenerbahçe	10	2.40	1.00	80%	50%	50%	2.06 / 1.27	10.6	1.8
Galatasaray	10	2.30	1.20	80%	50%	40%	2.33 / 1.00	11.1	1.8
Göztepe	10	2.10	1.70	80%	70%	20%	1.94 / 1.69	9.5	2.7
Çorum FK	10	2.10	1.60	80%	60%	20%	1.28 / 1.42	9.4	2.1
Trabzonspor	10	2.40	0.80	60%	40%	50%	1.85 / 1.44	8.9	2.0
Beşiktaş	10	2.00	1.20	60%	50%	30%	1.77 / 0.94	10.4	2.2
Başakşehir	10	1.70	1.60	60%	50%	30%	1.75 / 1.58	8.5	2.2
Samsunspor	10	1.00	2.60	60%	50%	10%	1.14 / 1.95	10.5	1.6
Alanyaspor	9	1.00	1.22	56%	56%	33%	1.09 / 1.60	9.2	1.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K.	9	0.78	2.00	56%	44%	11%	0.98 / 2.08	12.0	1.9
Kasımpaşa	10	1.50	1.10	50%	70%	30%	1.17 / 1.15	10.8	2.5
Rizespor	10	1.10	1.50	50%	40%	30%	1.40 / 1.29	9.5	2.0
Erzurumspor FK	10	0.90	1.50	50%	30%	40%	0.81 / 1.32	7.4	1.3
Gaziantep FK	10	0.90	1.70	50%	50%	20%	1.10 / 1.51	8.0	2.3
Eyüpspor	10	0.30	2.80	50%	20%	0%	0.82 / 2.29	8.9	1.5
Kocaelispor	10	1.10	0.90	40%	40%	40%	1.14 / 1.33	9.7	2.0
Konyaspor	10	0.60	1.30	30%	20%	40%	1.12 / 1.35	9.1	2.3

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Galatasaray	1.5	69.3%	0%
2	Trabzonspor	3.1	14.3%	0%
3	Beşiktaş	3.9	7.5%	0%
4	Fenerbahçe	4.5	4.4%	0%
5	Amed	4.7	3.7%	0%
6	Göztepe	8	0.3%	0.8%
7	Başakşehir	8.1	0.2%	0.7%
8	Kasımpaşa	8.4	0.1%	0.9%
9	Çorum FK	9	0.1%	1.9%
10	Kocaelispor	9.9	0.1%	3.3%
11	Erzurumspor FK	10.3	0%	4.1%
12	Alanyaspor	11.2	0%	7.3%
13	Rizespor	12.6	0%	15.7%
14	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	13.9	0%	33.2%
15	Konyaspor	14.3	0%	37.5%
16	Samsunspor	15.1	0%	52.5%
17	Gaziantep FK	15.3	0%	54.3%
18	Eyüpspor	17.1	0%	87.9%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Süper Lig predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Süper Lig is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Süper Lig fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Süper Lig betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Süper Lig match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit