We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1842 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara Chivas — Club Tijuana · Liga MX | 1 · Guadalajara Chivas | 1.50 | 1.48 | 1.52 | -1.3% | Won | +0.50 | |
| Lexington — Las Vegas Lights · USL Championship | 1 · Lexington | 1.62 | 1.61 | 1.71 | -5.3% | Won | +0.62 | |
| Indy Eleven — Louisville City · USL Championship | 2 · Louisville City | 2.20 | 2.08 | 2.06 | +6.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cobreloa — Union Espanola · Chile Primera B | 1 · Cobreloa | 2.07 | 2.01 | 1.70 | +21.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Huachipato — Deportes Limache · Primera Division Chile | 2 · Deportes Limache | 3.10 | 2.93 | 2.68 | +15.7% | Won | +2.10 | |
| Deportes Tolima — Bucaramanga · Primera A | X · Draw | 3.20 | 3.02 | 2.94 | +8.8% | Won | +2.20 | |
| Patronato — Almagro · Primera Nacional | 1 · Patronato | 1.89 | 1.75 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Midland — Nueva Chicago · Primera Nacional | 1 · Midland | 1.84 | 1.79 | — | — | Won | +0.84 | |
| Los Andes — Acassuso · Primera Nacional | 1 · Los Andes | 1.80 | 1.64 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Godoy Cruz — San Telmo · Primera Nacional | 1 · Godoy Cruz | 1.65 | 1.59 | — | — | Won | +0.65 | |
| CA Estudiantes — Ferro Carril Oeste · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 2.80 | 2.78 | — | — | Won | +1.80 | |
| Almirante Brown — Deportivo Madryn · Primera Nacional | 1 · Almirante Brown | 2.80 | 2.74 | — | — | Won | +1.80 | |
| Claypole — Fénix · Primera C | 1 · Claypole | 2.15 | 2.11 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Centro Español — Estrella Del Sur · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.88 | 2.80 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Central Cordoba — Sportivo Barracas · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.02 | 2.89 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ituzaingó — Deportivo Merlo · Primera B Metropolitana | 2 · Deportivo Merlo | 2.27 | 2.14 | 2.28 | -0.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Comunicaciones — Sportivo Italiano · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Comunicaciones | 2.90 | 2.66 | 2.56 | +13.3% | Won | +1.90 | |
| Dock Sud — Deportivo Camioneros · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.25 | 3.04 | — | — | Won | +2.25 | |
| Deportivo Armenio — Real Pilar · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Deportivo Armenio | 2.50 | 2.24 | 2.31 | +8.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Laferrere — Villa Dalmine · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 2.95 | 2.89 | 2.30 | +28.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Flandria — Liniers · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Flandria | 2.80 | 2.66 | 2.43 | +15.2% | Won | +1.80 | |
| Brown DE Adrogue — UAI Urquiza · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Brown DE Adrogue | 2.25 | 2.07 | 2.00 | +12.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Dinamo Zagreb — NK Varazdin · Croatia HNL | 1 · Dinamo Zagreb | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.54 | -11.7% | Won | +0.36 | |
| Empoli — Cremonese · Serie B | 1 · Empoli | 3.00 | 2.93 | 2.80 | +7.1% | Won | +2.00 | |
| Benevento — Modena · Serie B | 1 · Benevento | 2.65 | 2.41 | 2.32 | +14.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Estac Troyes — Paris FC · Ligue 1 | 2 · Paris FC | 2.63 | 2.57 | 2.46 | +6.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Nice — Lorient · Ligue 1 | 1 · Nice | 2.30 | 2.29 | 2.20 | +4.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Le Mans — Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1 | 1 · Le Mans | 2.87 | 2.59 | 2.48 | +15.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Parma — Cagliari · Serie A | X · Draw | 3.25 | 3.15 | 2.99 | +8.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Genoa — Napoli · Serie A | 2 · Napoli | 1.93 | 1.90 | 1.84 | +4.9% | Won | +0.93 | |
| Slavia Praha — Bohemians 1905 · Czech Liga | 1 · Slavia Praha | 1.25 | 1.23 | 1.22 | +2.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ajka — Nagykanizsai ULE · Hungary NB II | 1 · Ajka | 1.86 | 1.83 | 1.74 | +6.9% | Won | +0.86 | |
| Kozarmisleny FC — Szeged 2011 · Hungary NB II | 2 · Szeged 2011 | 2.48 | 2.26 | 2.10 | +18.1% | Won | +1.48 | |
| Fehérvár FC — Mezokovesd-zsory · Hungary NB II | 1 · Fehérvár FC | 2.22 | 2.08 | 1.94 | +14.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Oţelul — Arges Pitesti · Romania Liga I | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.83 | 2.67 | +12.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Dinamo Bucuresti — Universitatea Cluj · Romania Liga I | 1 · Dinamo Bucuresti | 1.90 | 1.82 | 1.77 | +7.3% | Won | +0.90 | |
| Sudtirol — Virtus Entella · Serie B | X · Draw | 3.30 | 3.21 | 3.04 | +8.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Carrarese — Mantova · Serie B | 2 · Mantova | 3.40 | 3.26 | 3.09 | +10.0% | Won | +2.40 | |
| Recoleta — Deportes Copiapo · Chile Primera B | 1 · Recoleta | 2.40 | 2.29 | 2.10 | +14.3% | Won | +1.40 | |
| Brentford — Tottenham · Premier League | 2 · Tottenham | 3.25 | 2.91 | 2.77 | +17.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Inter — Monza · Serie A | 1 · Inter | 1.27 | 1.23 | 1.21 | +5.0% | Won | +0.27 | |
| Radnicki 1923 — IMT Novi Beograd · Serbia Super Liga | 2 · IMT Novi Beograd | 3.20 | 3.17 | 2.64 | +21.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Macva — Radnicki NIS · Serbia Super Liga | 2 · Radnicki NIS | 2.45 | 2.26 | 2.12 | +15.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| OFK Beograd — Zemun · Serbia Super Liga | 1 · OFK Beograd | 1.55 | 1.44 | 1.38 | +12.3% | Won | +0.55 | |
| Mladost Lucani — FK Partizan · Serbia Super Liga | 2 · FK Partizan | 1.83 | 1.81 | 1.88 | -2.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda — Cukaricki · Serbia Super Liga | 1 · FK Crvena Zvezda | 1.19 | 1.15 | 1.14 | +4.4% | Won | +0.19 | |
| Ružomberok — Dukla Banská Bystrica · Slovak Super Liga | 1 · Ružomberok | 1.83 | 1.74 | 1.78 | +2.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lech Poznan — Jagiellonia · Ekstraklasa | 1 · Lech Poznan | 1.67 | 1.66 | — | — | Won | +0.67 | |
| Klubi-04 — MP · Ykkösliiga | 1 · Klubi-04 | 2.26 | 2.20 | 2.14 | +5.6% | Won | +1.26 | |
| Lens — Auxerre · Ligue 1 | 1 · Lens | 1.66 | 1.65 | 1.60 | +3.7% | Won | +0.66 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.