We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
Filtered view — 424 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC — Botafogo SP · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Fortaleza EC | 1.89 | 1.74 | 1.95 | -3.1% | Won | +0.89 | |
| Juventude — Avai · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Juventude | 1.68 | 1.61 | 1.70 | -1.2% | Won | +0.68 | |
| Ponte Preta — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B | 2 · Athletic Club | 2.24 | 2.20 | 2.09 | +7.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Tigre — Club Nacional · Copa Sudamericana | 1 · Tigre | 2.28 | 2.19 | 2.21 | +3.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| San Lorenzo — Gimnasia M. · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · San Lorenzo | 2.22 | 2.09 | 1.96 | +13.3% | Won | +1.22 | |
| Banfield — Sarmiento Junin · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Banfield | 2.21 | 2.07 | 2.23 | -0.9% | Won | +1.21 | |
| Atlético Tembetary — Resistencia · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 2 · Resistencia | 3.40 | 3.16 | 2.94 | +15.6% | Won | +2.40 | |
| Ægir — Njardvik · 1. Deild | 2 · Njardvik | 1.60 | 1.43 | 1.44 | +11.1% | Won | +0.60 | |
| Dobrudzha — Pirin Blagoevgrad · Bulgaria Second League | 1 · Dobrudzha | 1.78 | 1.74 | 1.62 | +9.9% | Won | +0.78 | |
| Dainava — Transinvest 2 · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Dainava | 1.27 | 1.24 | 1.18 | +7.6% | Won | +0.27 | |
| Sport Recife — Cuiaba · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Sport Recife | 2.00 | 1.98 | 2.24 | -10.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| CRB — Vila Nova · Brazil Serie B | 1 · CRB | 1.96 | 1.87 | 2.00 | -2.0% | Won | +0.96 | |
| Atletico Goianiense — Operario-PR · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Atletico Goianiense | 2.38 | 2.13 | 2.07 | +15.0% | Won | +1.38 | |
| KA Akureyri — Thor Akureyri · Urvalsdeild | 1 · KA Akureyri | 1.76 | 1.74 | 1.71 | +2.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sportivo Barracas — El Porvenir · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.80 | 2.76 | 2.25 | +24.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Zaglebie Lubin — Piast Gliwice · Ekstraklasa | 2 · Piast Gliwice | 2.45 | 2.43 | 2.82 | -13.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Orebro SK — Oddevold · Superettan | 1 · Orebro SK | 3.05 | 3.02 | 2.82 | +8.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Stabaek — hodd · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Stabaek | 1.45 | 1.43 | 1.36 | +6.6% | Won | +0.45 | |
| Rosenborg — Fredrikstad · Eliteserien | 1 · Rosenborg | 1.80 | 1.74 | 1.55 | +16.1% | Won | +0.80 | |
| Metta / LU — Tukums II · Latvia 1. Liga | 1 · Metta / LU | 1.11 | 1.04 | 1.03 | +7.8% | Won | +0.11 | |
| Opava — Karviná · Czech FNL | 2 · Karviná | 2.90 | 2.74 | 2.53 | +14.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Tukums — Rīgas FS · Latvia Virsliga | 2 · Rīgas FS | 1.32 | 1.26 | 1.25 | +5.6% | Won | +0.32 | |
| Once Caldas — Cucuta · Primera A | 1 · Once Caldas | 1.56 | 1.46 | 1.44 | +8.3% | Won | +0.56 | |
| Concepción — O'Higgins · Primera Division Chile | 2 · O'Higgins | 3.05 | 2.95 | 3.00 | +1.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Barcelona SC — LDU de Quito · Ecuador LigaPro | X · Draw | 3.26 | 3.22 | 3.12 | +4.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Necaxa — Monterrey · Liga MX | 2 · Monterrey | 2.27 | 2.22 | 2.13 | +6.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| St. Louis City II — Vancouver Whitecaps II · MLS Next Pro | 1 · St. Louis City II | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.38 | +5.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| America Mineiro — Goias · Brazil Serie B | 2 · Goias | 2.90 | 2.79 | 2.99 | -3.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| RB Bragantino — Coritiba · Brazil Serie A | 1 · RB Bragantino | 1.72 | 1.60 | 1.60 | +7.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Flamengo — Sao Paulo · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Flamengo | 1.53 | 1.47 | 1.48 | +3.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Águilas Doradas — Santa Fe · Primera A | 2 · Santa Fe | 2.95 | 2.91 | 2.82 | +4.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Estudiantes L.P. — Independiente · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Estudiantes L.P. | 2.28 | 2.25 | 2.16 | +5.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Portland Timbers II — Real Monarchs · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Portland Timbers II | 1.96 | 1.86 | 1.76 | +11.4% | Won | +0.96 | |
| Internacional de Bogota — America de Cali · Primera A | 1 · Internacional de Bogota | 2.95 | 2.87 | 3.23 | -8.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Criciuma — Nautico Recife · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Criciuma | 1.93 | 1.78 | 1.52 | +27.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cruzeiro — Botafogo · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Cruzeiro | 1.91 | 1.86 | 1.77 | +7.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Macva — FK Partizan · Serbia Super Liga | 2 · FK Partizan | 1.40 | 1.35 | 1.27 | +10.2% | Won | +0.40 | |
| Aucas — Macara · Ecuador LigaPro | X · Draw | 3.34 | 2.99 | 2.93 | +14.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lujan — Central Ballester · Primera C | 1 · Lujan | 1.71 | 1.60 | 1.51 | +13.2% | Won | +0.71 | |
| General Lamadrid — Claypole · Primera C | 1 · General Lamadrid | 2.50 | 2.44 | 2.22 | +12.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Juventud Unida — Defensores de Cambaceres · Primera C | 1 · Juventud Unida | 2.70 | 2.52 | 2.34 | +15.4% | Won | +1.70 | |
| Aalesund — Viking · Eliteserien | 2 · Viking | 1.55 | 1.46 | 1.57 | -1.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica — Slovan Bratislava · Slovak Super Liga | 2 · Slovan Bratislava | 1.52 | 1.45 | 1.44 | +5.6% | Won | +0.52 | |
| Szentlőrinc SE — Karcag SE · Hungary NB II | 1 · Szentlőrinc SE | 2.38 | 2.23 | 2.30 | +3.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| OLS — KPV-j · Ykkonen | 1 · OLS | 1.23 | 1.22 | 1.16 | +6.0% | Won | +0.23 | |
| Kaspiy — Zhenys · Kazakhstan Premier League | 2 · Zhenys | 2.69 | 2.60 | 2.41 | +11.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| KFUM Oslo — Molde · Eliteserien | 1 · KFUM Oslo | 3.20 | 2.98 | 3.21 | -0.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF — Ham-Kam · Eliteserien | 1 · Sarpsborg 08 FF | 1.95 | 1.80 | 1.69 | +15.4% | Won | +0.95 | |
| Sandefjord — Bodo/Glimt · Eliteserien | 2 · Bodo/Glimt | 1.52 | 1.40 | 1.34 | +13.4% | Won | +0.52 | |
| Gais — Halmstad · Allsvenskan | 1 · Gais | 1.41 | 1.35 | 1.53 | -7.8% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.