We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1827 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart II — Preußen Münster · 3. Liga | 1 · Stuttgart II | 2.45 | 2.37 | 2.55 | -3.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| VfL Osnabrück — Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga | 2 · Hertha BSC | 2.25 | 2.22 | 2.19 | +2.7% | Won | +1.25 | |
| Karlsruher SC — Energie Cottbus · 2. Bundesliga | 1 · Karlsruher SC | 1.87 | 1.75 | 1.88 | -0.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| 1. FC Heidenheim — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga | 1 · 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.15 | 2.05 | 2.14 | +0.5% | Won | +1.15 | |
| Yichun Grand Tiger — Dalian Yingbo B · China League Two | 1 · Yichun Grand Tiger | 2.60 | 2.56 | 2.35 | +10.6% | Won | +1.60 | |
| BFC Daugavpils — Rīgas FS · Latvia Virsliga | 2 · Rīgas FS | 1.39 | 1.36 | 1.20 | +15.8% | Won | +0.39 | |
| Baník Ostrava — Pardubice · Czech Liga | 1 · Baník Ostrava | 2.04 | 1.97 | 1.97 | +3.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sheffield Utd — Wolves · Championship | 1 · Sheffield Utd | 3.25 | 3.12 | 3.51 | -7.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Qingdao Red Lions — Xiamen Feilu · China League Two | X · Draw | 3.20 | 2.94 | 2.53 | +26.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Wisla Plock — Cracovia Krakow · Ekstraklasa | 2 · Cracovia Krakow | 2.75 | 2.66 | 2.54 | +8.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gwangju FC — FC Anyang · K League 1 | 2 · FC Anyang | 2.28 | 2.13 | 2.15 | +6.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Malženice — Tatran Prešov · Slovakia 2. Liga | 2 · Tatran Prešov | 2.40 | 2.31 | 2.23 | +7.6% | Won | +1.40 | |
| Slovan Bratislava II — MFK Bytča · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1 · Slovan Bratislava II | 1.45 | 1.40 | 1.54 | -5.8% | Won | +0.45 | |
| Slavia Praha II — Viktoria Žižkov · Czech FNL | 1 · Slavia Praha II | 2.05 | 1.97 | 1.96 | +4.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Guangzhou Dandelion — Rizhao Yuqi · China League Two | X · Draw | 2.88 | 2.82 | 2.56 | +12.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy — Seattle Sounders · MLS | 2 · Seattle Sounders | 3.40 | 3.16 | 3.05 | +11.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Monterrey — Tigres UANL · Liga MX | 1 · Monterrey | 2.44 | 2.38 | 2.18 | +11.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Alianza Lima — Universitario · Peru Liga 1 | X · Draw | 3.30 | 3.04 | 2.71 | +21.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FC Dallas — Portland Timbers · MLS | 1 · FC Dallas | 1.88 | 1.87 | 1.80 | +4.4% | Won | +0.88 | |
| Minnesota United II — Vancouver Whitecaps II · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Minnesota United II | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.44 | +6.2% | Won | +0.53 | |
| Santos — Cruzeiro · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Santos | 2.49 | 2.30 | 2.55 | -2.4% | Won | +1.49 | |
| Columbus Crew — New York Red Bulls · MLS | 1 · Columbus Crew | 1.87 | 1.82 | 1.79 | +4.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Botafogo — RB Bragantino · Brazil Serie A | 2 · RB Bragantino | 3.60 | 3.25 | 2.77 | +30.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sporting JAX — Rhode Island · USL Championship | 2 · Rhode Island | 1.68 | 1.62 | 1.54 | +9.1% | Won | +0.68 | |
| Leon — Atletico San Luis · Liga MX | 1 · Leon | 2.21 | 2.05 | 1.93 | +14.5% | Won | +1.21 | |
| Palestino — U. Catolica · Primera Division Chile | 1 · Palestino | 3.40 | 3.12 | 2.96 | +14.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Talleres Cordoba — Union Santa Fe · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 3.20 | 3.05 | 3.04 | +5.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Internacional de Bogota — Llaneros · Primera A | 1 · Internacional de Bogota | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.76 | +5.1% | Won | +0.85 | |
| Estrella Del Sur — Yupanqui · Primera C | 1 · Estrella Del Sur | 2.18 | 2.17 | 1.99 | +9.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Mercedes — Deportivo Español · Primera C | 2 · Deportivo Español | 2.35 | 2.24 | 2.08 | +13.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lugano — Leones de Rosario · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.47 | +21.5% | Won | +2.00 | |
| Deportivo Muñiz — Leandro N. Alem · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.60 | 3.26 | 2.94 | +22.4% | Won | +2.60 | |
| Defensores de Cambaceres — Sportivo Barracas · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.90 | 2.79 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| JJ Urquiza — General Lamadrid · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.75 | 2.73 | — | — | Won | +1.75 | |
| Fénix — Centro Español · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.90 | 2.86 | — | — | Won | +1.90 | |
| Central Ballester — Puerto Nuevo · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.95 | 2.75 | 2.50 | +18.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Canuelas — Victoriano Arenas · Primera C | 1 · Canuelas | 2.36 | 2.28 | 2.08 | +13.5% | Won | +1.36 | |
| Central Cordoba — Argentino Rosario · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.40 | 3.22 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Juventud Unida — El Porvenir · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.90 | 2.83 | 2.53 | +14.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ituzaingó — Comunicaciones · Primera B Metropolitana | 2 · Comunicaciones | 1.82 | 1.73 | 1.69 | +7.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Armenio — Sportivo Italiano · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.98 | 2.73 | +9.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Talleres Remedios — Liniers · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Talleres Remedios | 1.67 | 1.59 | 1.51 | +10.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Laferrere — Villa San Carlos · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.15 | 3.12 | 2.81 | +12.1% | Won | +2.15 | |
| Brown DE Adrogue — San Martín Burzaco · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.15 | 3.04 | 2.74 | +15.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Arsenal Sarandi — UAI Urquiza · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Arsenal Sarandi | 1.56 | 1.43 | 1.34 | +16.4% | Won | +0.56 | |
| Chapecoense-sc — Internacional · Brazil Serie A | 2 · Internacional | 2.55 | 2.29 | 1.96 | +30.1% | Won | +1.55 | |
| Academico Viseu — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga | 2 · Vitória SC | 2.25 | 2.21 | 2.12 | +6.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cordoba — Almeria · Segunda Division | 1 · Cordoba | 2.50 | 2.44 | 2.57 | -2.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sunderland — Arsenal · Premier League | 2 · Arsenal | 1.57 | 1.54 | 1.65 | -4.8% | Won | +0.57 | |
| America Mineiro — São Bernardo · Brazil Serie B | 1 · America Mineiro | 2.50 | 2.44 | 2.31 | +8.2% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.