We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1830 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba — Almeria · Segunda Division | 1 · Cordoba | 2.50 | 2.44 | 2.57 | -2.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sunderland — Arsenal · Premier League | 2 · Arsenal | 1.57 | 1.54 | 1.65 | -4.8% | Won | +0.57 | |
| America Mineiro — São Bernardo · Brazil Serie B | 1 · America Mineiro | 2.50 | 2.44 | 2.31 | +8.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atletico-MG — Fluminense · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Atletico-MG | 2.43 | 2.29 | 2.14 | +13.6% | Won | +1.43 | |
| Gremio — Vasco DA Gama · Brazil Serie A | 2 · Vasco DA Gama | 3.65 | 3.28 | 2.15 | +69.8% | Won | +2.65 | |
| Paris FC — Lyon · Ligue 1 | 1 · Paris FC | 2.88 | 2.75 | 2.60 | +10.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lorient — Toulouse · Ligue 1 | 2 · Toulouse | 2.98 | 2.85 | 3.12 | -4.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Le Havre — Angers · Ligue 1 | 1 · Le Havre | 2.33 | 2.29 | 2.65 | -12.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| OH Leuven — Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League | 1 · OH Leuven | 2.83 | 2.72 | 2.57 | +10.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atalanta — Cagliari · Serie A | 1 · Atalanta | 1.59 | 1.57 | 1.71 | -7.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Longford Town — Treaty United · First Division Ireland | 1 · Longford Town | 2.25 | 2.02 | 1.87 | +20.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Zaglebie Lubin — GKS Katowice · Ekstraklasa | 2 · GKS Katowice | 2.72 | 2.70 | 2.56 | +6.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Iraklis 1908 — Atromitos · Greek Super League | X · Draw | 3.30 | 3.23 | 2.98 | +10.7% | Won | +2.30 | |
| Comerciantes Unidos — Sport Huancayo · Peru Liga 1 | 2 · Sport Huancayo | 3.15 | 3.00 | 3.33 | -5.4% | Won | +2.15 | |
| Cobresal — Coquimbo Unido · Primera Division Chile | 2 · Coquimbo Unido | 2.25 | 2.15 | 2.12 | +6.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Independ. Rivadavia — Aldosivi · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Independ. Rivadavia | 1.61 | 1.51 | 1.45 | +11.0% | Won | +0.61 | |
| Estudiantes L.P. — Platense · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Estudiantes L.P. | 1.93 | 1.89 | 2.04 | -5.4% | Won | +0.93 | |
| Wolfsberger AC — Rapid Vienna · Austrian Bundesliga | 2 · Rapid Vienna | 1.85 | 1.74 | 1.55 | +19.4% | Won | +0.85 | |
| Alanyaspor — Göztepe · Süper Lig | 1 · Alanyaspor | 2.57 | 2.33 | 2.24 | +14.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Granada CF — Albacete · Segunda Division | 1 · Granada CF | 2.38 | 2.19 | 1.88 | +26.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Tottenham — Everton · Premier League | 1 · Tottenham | 2.09 | 2.04 | 2.06 | +1.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| 1. FC Köln — Werder Bremen · Bundesliga | 1 · 1. FC Köln | 2.18 | 2.11 | 2.11 | +3.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Athletic Club — Elche · La Liga | 1 · Athletic Club | 1.70 | 1.58 | 1.42 | +19.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ilves — Lahti · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Ilves | 2.42 | 2.39 | 2.34 | +3.4% | Won | +1.42 | |
| Racing Montevideo — Boston River · Uruguay Primera Division | 1 · Racing Montevideo | 2.30 | 2.07 | 1.94 | +18.6% | Won | +1.30 | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus — OFI · Greek Super League | 1 · Olympiakos Piraeus | 1.29 | 1.20 | 1.23 | +4.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Železničar Pančevo — Macva · Serbia Super Liga | 1 · Železničar Pančevo | 1.56 | 1.49 | 1.37 | +13.9% | Won | +0.56 | |
| Radnicki 1923 — Mladost Lucani · Serbia Super Liga | 1 · Radnicki 1923 | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.46 | +14.4% | Won | +0.67 | |
| Radnicki NIS — OFK Beograd · Serbia Super Liga | 1 · Radnicki NIS | 2.30 | 2.27 | 2.12 | +8.5% | Won | +1.30 | |
| FK Partizan — Vojvodina · Serbia Super Liga | 1 · FK Partizan | 2.52 | 2.37 | 2.28 | +10.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lazio — AC Milan · Serie A | 2 · AC Milan | 2.42 | 2.33 | 2.12 | +14.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gornik Zabrze — Lech Poznan · Ekstraklasa | 2 · Lech Poznan | 2.70 | 2.53 | 2.37 | +13.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Nublense — Everton de Vina · Primera Division Chile | 2 · Everton de Vina | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.68 | +15.7% | Won | +2.10 | |
| IFK Goteborg — Halmstad · Allsvenskan | 1 · IFK Goteborg | 1.60 | 1.52 | 1.47 | +8.8% | Won | +0.60 | |
| Strasbourg — Monaco · Ligue 1 | 2 · Monaco | 2.26 | 2.24 | 2.29 | -1.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kaisar — Atyrau · Kazakhstan Premier League | 1 · Kaisar | 2.67 | 2.41 | 2.22 | +20.3% | Won | +1.67 | |
| CSKA Sofia — Arda Kardzhali · Bulgaria First League | X · Draw | 3.50 | 3.18 | 3.16 | +10.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cherno More Varna — Lokomotiv Sofia · Bulgaria First League | 1 · Cherno More Varna | 2.15 | 2.12 | 2.05 | +4.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Alemannia Aachen — SSV Jahn Regensburg · 3. Liga | 1 · Alemannia Aachen | 1.75 | 1.72 | 1.85 | -5.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Osasuna — Espanyol · La Liga | 1 · Osasuna | 2.10 | 2.07 | 2.27 | -7.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cadiz — Las Palmas · Segunda Division | 1 · Cadiz | 2.74 | 2.69 | 2.52 | +8.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Liverpool — Fulham · Premier League | 1 · Liverpool | 1.52 | 1.48 | 1.54 | -1.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Chelsea — Hull City · Premier League | 1 · Chelsea | 1.29 | 1.26 | 1.22 | +5.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Bournemouth — Brentford · Premier League | 2 · Brentford | 2.71 | 2.69 | 3.02 | -10.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom — Žilina II · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1 · Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 1.73 | 1.68 | 1.61 | +7.5% | Won | +0.73 | |
| Považská Bystrica — Humenné · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1 · Považská Bystrica | 1.57 | 1.52 | 1.56 | +0.6% | Won | +0.57 | |
| Samsunspor — Çorum FK · Süper Lig | 1 · Samsunspor | 2.20 | 2.11 | 2.44 | -9.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| York — Swindon Town · League Two | 1 · York | 1.75 | 1.66 | 1.61 | +8.7% | Won | +0.75 | |
| Barnet — Accrington ST · League Two | 1 · Barnet | 1.58 | 1.53 | 1.54 | +2.6% | Won | +0.58 | |
| Newport County — Fleetwood Town · League Two | 2 · Fleetwood Town | 2.30 | 2.22 | 2.25 | +2.2% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.