West Ham United U21 3–1 Burnley U21

Final score · Half-time 3–0 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made West Ham United U21 the most likely outcome at 62%: fair odds of 1.62.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

22' C. Scott · yellow card · Burnley U21
23' 1–0 R. Hargan · goal · West Ham United U21
35' 2–0 P. Fearon · goal · assist R. Hargan · West Ham United U21
43' M. Stanley · yellow card · Burnley U21
45+4' 3–0 P. Fearon · goal · assist R. Hargan · West Ham United U21
69' Z. Johnson · yellow card · Burnley U21
72' T. Savage · yellow card · Burnley U21
77' C. Leacock · yellow card · West Ham United U21
77' 3–1 Z. Johnson (pen.) · Burnley U21
83' R. Hargan · yellow card · West Ham United U21
83' J. Ajala · yellow card · West Ham United U21

What the market said before kick-off

West Ham United U21 win 62% happened
Draw 17% did not happen
Burnley U21 win 21% did not happen

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Referee: P. Johnson · Venue: Rush Green Stadium, London

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

	1	X	2
Chance	62%	17%	21%
Fair odds	1.62	5.76	4.76
Pinnacle odds	1.55	4.88	4.11

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

West Ham United U21 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Burnley U21 averaged 1.6 and 2.0 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

West Ham United U21

L D W L D

avg 1.4 scored · 1.8 conceded (last 5)

Burnley U21

L W L L L

avg 1.6 scored · 2 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

Measured by TipsAudit