Derby County U21 3–4 Norwich City U21

Final score · Half-time 0–3 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Norwich City U21 the most likely outcome at 41%: fair odds of 2.46.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

34' 0–1 L. Towler · goal · assist R. Cooper · Norwich City U21
36' 0–2 R. Cooper · goal · assist B. Ameen · Norwich City U21
38' F. Jones · yellow card · Derby County U21
40' 0–3 J. Glossop · goal · assist A. Domeracki · Norwich City U21
57' V. Leonard · yellow card · Norwich City U21
59' 1–3 A. Osayande · goal · assist C. Smith · Derby County U21
64' 2–3 R. Offor · goal · assist C. Smith · Derby County U21
75' I. Gordon · yellow card · Derby County U21
81' 3–3 C. Smith · goal · Derby County U21
87' 3–4 F. Corke · goal · assist T. Chilvers · Norwich City U21
90' A. Domeracki · yellow card · Norwich City U21

What the market said before kick-off

Derby County U21 win 37% did not happen
Draw 22% did not happen
Norwich City U21 win 41% happened

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Referee: M. Scholes · Venue: Grange Park, Long Eaton

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

	1	X	2
Chance	37%	22%	41%
Fair odds	2.69	4.52	2.46
Pinnacle odds	2.48	3.99	2.28

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

Derby County U21 averaged 2.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Norwich City U21 averaged 2.0 and 1.4 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Derby County U21

W L L D W

avg 2.6 scored · 2.4 conceded (last 5)

Norwich City U21

W L W D W

avg 2 scored · 1.4 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent head-to-head

31 Oct 2025 Derby County U21 0–3 Norwich City U21

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

Measured by TipsAudit