Kyoto Sanga 5–2 Newcastle Jets

Final score · Half-time 1–2 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Kyoto Sanga the most likely outcome at 68%: fair odds of 1.47.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

13' 0–1 Patrick Wood (pen.) · Newcastle Jets
21' João Pedro · yellow card · Kyoto Sanga
37' Julian Recchia · yellow card · Newcastle Jets
45+1' Takaaki Shichi · yellow card · Kyoto Sanga
45+2' 0–2 Patrick Wood (pen.) · Newcastle Jets
45+6' 1–2 Hisashi Appiah Tawiah · goal · assist Takaaki Shichi · Kyoto Sanga
54' Joe Shaughnessy · yellow card · Newcastle Jets
56' 2–2 Alex Souza · goal · assist Marco Túlio · Kyoto Sanga
60' 3–2 Marco Túlio · goal · assist Alex Souza · Kyoto Sanga
67' 4–2 Rafael Papagaio · goal · assist Haruki Arai · Kyoto Sanga
84' 5–2 Alex Souza · goal · assist Masaya Okugawa · Kyoto Sanga
90+4' Zane Schreiber · yellow card · Newcastle Jets

Match stats

Match stats	Kyoto Sanga	Newcastle Jets
Possession %	56	44
Expected goals (xG)	2.94	1.80
Shots	30	7
Shots on target	15	2
Corners	11	3
Yellow cards	2	3
Red cards	0	0
Fouls	8	12
Offsides	4	2
Goalkeeper saves	0	10

Provisional stats from the final whistle; the final numbers replace them within a day.

What the market said before kick-off

Kyoto Sanga win 68% happened
Draw 15% did not happen
Newcastle Jets win 16% did not happen

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Referee: Kim Jong-hyeok · Venue: Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kyoto

Next matches

Kyoto Sanga – Shimizu S-pulse · Sat · 05:00 UTC
Newcastle Jets – Wellington Phoenix · Sat · 04:00 UTC

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

	1	X	2
Chance	68%	15%	16%
Fair odds	1.47	6.51	6.09
Pinnacle odds	1.43	5.77	5.42

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

Kyoto Sanga averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Newcastle Jets averaged 1.2 and 2.8 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Kyoto Sanga

D D L W L

avg 1 scored · 1.6 conceded (last 5)

Newcastle Jets

D D L L D

avg 1.2 scored · 2.8 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

Measured by TipsAudit