USA USL League One

Forward Madison 2–1 Spokane Velocity

Final score · Half-time 2–1 · Latest results

At kick-off Pinnacle, with its margin removed, made Forward Madison the most likely outcome at 50%: fair odds of 2.02.

After the whistle

Goals and cards

  1. 7' 1–0 H. Karamoko · goal · assist R. Carmichael · Forward Madison
  2. 11' 1–1 L. Opara · goal · assist N. Vinyals · Spokane Velocity
  3. 12' 2–1 J. Bolma · goal · assist R. Carmichael · Forward Madison
  4. 30' A. Lewis · yellow card · Spokane Velocity
  5. 45+1' A. Elmasnaouy · yellow card · Spokane Velocity
  6. 48' C. McCamy · yellow card · Forward Madison
  7. 80' R. Torres · yellow card · Forward Madison
  8. 88' E. Munjoma · yellow card · Forward Madison

What the market said before kick-off

  • Forward Madison win 50% happened
  • Draw 26% did not happen
  • Spokane Velocity win 24% did not happen

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.

Venue: Breese Stevens Field

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Fair price at kick-off (Pinnacle's closing price, margin removed)

1X2
Chance50%26%24%
Fair odds2.023.844.10
Pinnacle odds1.913.463.67

For this competition we show the market's fair price only. These matches are not part of our track record, value flags or experiments, and we do not run our own model on them or compare bookmakers here.

Match context

Forward Madison averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; Spokane Velocity averaged 1.8 and 1.6 over 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Forward Madison
D W L D L
avg 0.8 scored · 0.8 conceded (last 5)
Spokane Velocity
L D W L W
avg 1.8 scored · 1.6 conceded (last 5)

Form: most recent match first.

Recent head-to-head
26 Sep 2026 Forward Madison 0–1 Spokane Velocity
02 Jul 2026 Spokane Velocity 0–1 Forward Madison
22 Aug 2025 Forward Madison 0–1 Spokane Velocity
15 Jun 2025 Spokane Velocity 2–1 Forward Madison

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Why only a fair price here

We price this competition from Pinnacle's odds alone, read from our data provider several times a day: the margin is removed and nothing is added. Our track record, value flags and experiments cover only the leagues where we also log our own predictions and compare bookmakers. Methodology

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