UEFA Conference League

Inter Club d'Escaldes 0–0 Drita

Final score · Half-time 0–0 · All of yesterday's results

No sharp market price is available for this match. Our own model makes Drita the most likely outcome at 42%; we make no value call without a sharp benchmark. Recent form — Inter Club d'Escaldes: DWWDL; Drita: DWWWD.

After the whistle

Decided on penalties after extra time (90 minutes: 0–0).

Match stats

Match statsInter Club d'EscaldesDrita
Possession %4852
Shots on target32
Corners61
Yellow cards53
Red cards00
Fouls1911
Offsides32

Referee: G. Kruashvili · Venue: Estadi de la FAF, Encamp

Next matches

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Starting line-ups

Inter Club d'Escaldes 4-3-3

  1. Javier Díaz GK
  2. Maurizio Pochettino DF
  3. Anwar Habib Hernandez Martinez DF
  4. Álex Sánchez DF
  5. Jilmar Torres DF
  6. Pablo Molina MF
  7. David López MF
  8. Antonio Otegui MF
  9. Domi Berlanga MF
  10. Faysal Chouaib FW
  11. Soule FW

Drita 4-2-3-1

  1. Faton Maloku GK
  2. Hajdin Salihu DF
  3. Altin Bytyçi DF
  4. Jorgo Pëllumbi DF
  5. Raddy Ovouka DF
  6. Albert Dabiqaj MF
  7. Kemelho Nguena MF
  8. Besnik Krasniqi DF
  9. Blerim Krasniqi FW
  10. William Baeten MF
  11. Arb Manaj FW

The most likely result is not the same as value: value is where a bookmaker pays more than the fair price, and the two can point to different outcomes.

Value check before kick-off

No value

No value was flagged for this match: before kick-off, no bookmaker price we saw beat the fair price under our rule.

Most likely result

1/2 Home or away 75%

When no single result is likely enough, our pick covers the two most probable outcomes (double chance).

1X2
Other estimates
Our model33%25%42%

Sharp, recorded = Pinnacle when we logged the match (it can be days old). Our model = our own estimate, which on average predicts worse than the market.

Fair odds of the pick (as recorded) 1.34
Sharp odds recorded for this prediction (Pinnacle) —
Market Gap —
Confidence —
Prediction result Lost · X

Match context

The last 2 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 0–1–1 (Inter Club d'Escaldes wins – draws – Drita wins).

Inter Club d'Escaldes scored 2 and conceded 1.2 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Drita scored 2.8 and conceded 1 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Market-relevant trends

Inter Club d'Escaldes is averaging 2 goals scored over its last 5 matches.
No value Already reflected in the fair price — no value on Inter Club d'Escaldes here.
Drita is unbeaten in its last 5 matches.
No value Already reflected in the fair price — no value on Drita here.

We show the trend and whether it is already in the price. Most sites show the streak and let you assume you should bet it.

Why this price?

Inter Club d'Escaldes
D W W D L
avg 2 scored · 1.2 conceded (last 5)
Drita
D W W W D
avg 2.8 scored · 1 conceded (last 5)
Recent head-to-head
20 Aug 2026 Drita 2–2 Inter Club d'Escaldes
08 Aug 2020 Drita 2–1 Inter Club d'Escaldes

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Public, timestamped record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick 1/2 · Home or away
Odds recorded for the prediction —
Closing odds pending
Prediction CLV —
Result Lost
Prediction hash — integrity fingerprint cc9442752d6093c1

This hash fingerprints the prediction as recorded: teams, kick-off time, our model probabilities, the Pinnacle prices recorded for it (at logging or, if there were none, the first quoted after logging and before kick-off, which can be written in after the match) and the log time. A later edit to any of them would change it (a rescheduled kick-off changes it too). It does not cover closing prices, the result or the value-bet record above; value flags recorded live have their own seal in the public record. Verify in the public record →

Every day a snapshot of the full public record is published to a public Git repository and timestamped with OpenTimestamps. Timestamped snapshots are never overwritten and the Git history shows any difference, so a later change to a past row is visible by comparing two snapshots. The corrections file lists the corrections we announced. Verify on the public log →

Since 20 June 2026 the public record is snapshotted daily (07:40 Bucharest time: 04:40 UTC in summer time, 05:40 UTC in winter) to an external log. A prediction is externally timestamped before kick-off only if it was in a snapshot taken before the match; predictions logged on match day, or whose Pinnacle price was added after logging, first appear there after kick-off. Value flags have been recorded live only since 26 September 2026; earlier value flags were reconstructed on that date.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

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